Leeds United vs Manchester City

EPL - February 28, 2026 11:30 AM

Leeds United have a 20.0% of winning.
Manchester City have a 55.6% of winning.
A Draw has a 24.4% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Leeds UnitedManchester City
20.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig40020.0%A-

Leeds United
400
Break Even20.0%
Probability20.0%
GradeA-
For this to be profitable, the Leeds United must be more likely than 20.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 20.0%, more likely, giving this bet a A- grade.
Betonline.ag40020.0%A-

Leeds United
Betonline.ag400
Break Even20.0%
Probability20.0%
GradeA-
For this to be profitable, the Leeds United must be more likely than 20.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 20.0%, more likely, giving this bet a A- grade.
Fanduel38020.8%C

Leeds United
380
Break Even20.8%
Probability20.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Leeds United must be more likely than 20.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 20.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers38020.8%C

Leeds United
Ceasers380
Break Even20.8%
Probability20.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Leeds United must be more likely than 20.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 20.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers38020.8%C

Leeds United
BetRivers380
Break Even20.8%
Probability20.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Leeds United must be more likely than 20.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 20.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada38020.8%C

Leeds United
Bovada380
Break Even20.8%
Probability20.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Leeds United must be more likely than 20.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 20.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanatics37521.1%C

Leeds United
Fanatics375
Break Even21.1%
Probability20.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Leeds United must be more likely than 21.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 20.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
55.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-13557.4%C

Manchester City
DraftKings-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability55.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM-13557.4%C

Manchester City
BetMGM-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability55.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie-13757.8%F

Manchester City
MyBookie-137
Break Even57.8%
Probability55.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 57.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-14058.3%F

Manchester City
-140
Break Even58.3%
Probability55.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-14058.3%F

Manchester City
Ceasers-140
Break Even58.3%
Probability55.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-14058.3%F

Manchester City
Bovada-140
Break Even58.3%
Probability55.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-14158.5%F

Manchester City
-141
Break Even58.5%
Probability55.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 58.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Draw
24.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS30524.7%B

Draw
BetUS305
Break Even24.7%
Probability24.4%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 24.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.4%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Lowvig30025.0%C

Draw
300
Break Even25.0%
Probability24.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag30025.0%C

Draw
Betonline.ag300
Break Even25.0%
Probability24.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanatics30025.0%C

Draw
Fanatics300
Break Even25.0%
Probability24.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie29525.3%C

Draw
MyBookie295
Break Even25.3%
Probability24.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel29025.6%C

Draw
290
Break Even25.6%
Probability24.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings29025.6%C

Draw
DraftKings290
Break Even25.6%
Probability24.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

44.1% chance that Leeds United win or are within 0.5 points of winning.
55.9% chance that Manchester City win by 0.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Leeds United (0.5)Manchester City (-0.5)
44.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS12145.2%C

Leeds United (0.5)
BetUS121
Break Even45.2%
Probability44.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Leeds United (0.5) spread must be more likely than 45.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie11346.9%F

Leeds United (0.5)
MyBookie113
Break Even46.9%
Probability44.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Leeds United (0.5) spread must be more likely than 46.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
55.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie-13958.2%F

Manchester City (-0.5)
MyBookie-139
Break Even58.2%
Probability55.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 58.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-14158.5%F

Manchester City (-0.5)
BetUS-141
Break Even58.5%
Probability55.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 58.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

53.2% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
46.8% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
53.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-12054.5%C

Over (2.5)
-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability53.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-12054.5%C

Over (2.5)
Betonline.ag-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability53.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS-12555.6%F

Over (2.5)
BetUS-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability53.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-12856.1%F

Over (2.5)
MyBookie-128
Break Even56.1%
Probability53.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 56.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-13457.3%F

Over (2.5)
BetRivers-134
Break Even57.3%
Probability53.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 57.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-13557.4%F

Over (2.5)
BetMGM-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability53.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
46.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers10548.8%C

Under (2.5)
BetRivers105
Break Even48.8%
Probability46.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS10548.8%C

Under (2.5)
BetUS105
Break Even48.8%
Probability46.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig10449.0%F

Under (2.5)
104
Break Even49.0%
Probability46.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 49.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie10449.0%F

Under (2.5)
MyBookie104
Break Even49.0%
Probability46.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 49.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag10449.0%F

Under (2.5)
Betonline.ag104
Break Even49.0%
Probability46.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 49.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-10250.5%F

Under (2.5)
BetMGM-102
Break Even50.5%
Probability46.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.