Aston Villa vs Brentford

EPL - February 1, 2026 8:00 AM

Aston Villa have a 45.5% of winning.
Brentford have a 27.1% of winning.
A Draw has a 27.3% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

45.5%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Aston Villa

	113
Break Even	46.9%
Probability	45.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 46.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Aston Villa

Betonline.ag	113
Break Even	46.9%
Probability	45.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 46.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Aston Villa

Bovada	111
Break Even	47.4%
Probability	45.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 47.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Aston Villa

DraftKings	110
Break Even	47.6%
Probability	45.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Aston Villa

Ceasers	110
Break Even	47.6%
Probability	45.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Aston Villa

BetUS	110
Break Even	47.6%
Probability	45.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Aston Villa

MyBookie	108
Break Even	48.1%
Probability	45.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 48.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

27.1%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Brentford

	260
Break Even	27.8%
Probability	27.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Brentford must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Brentford

BetRivers	255
Break Even	28.2%
Probability	27.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Brentford must be more likely than 28.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Brentford

DraftKings	250
Break Even	28.6%
Probability	27.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Brentford must be more likely than 28.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Brentford

Ceasers	250
Break Even	28.6%
Probability	27.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Brentford must be more likely than 28.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Brentford

BetMGM	250
Break Even	28.6%
Probability	27.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Brentford must be more likely than 28.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Brentford

Bovada	250
Break Even	28.6%
Probability	27.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Brentford must be more likely than 28.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Brentford

BetUS	250
Break Even	28.6%
Probability	27.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Brentford must be more likely than 28.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

27.3%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Draw

	257
Break Even	28.0%
Probability	27.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

Betonline.ag	257
Break Even	28.0%
Probability	27.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

	250
Break Even	28.6%
Probability	27.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

BetMGM	250
Break Even	28.6%
Probability	27.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

Fanatics	250
Break Even	28.6%
Probability	27.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

DraftKings	245
Break Even	29.0%
Probability	27.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 29.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

BetRivers	245
Break Even	29.0%
Probability	27.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 29.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

45.7% chance that Aston Villa win by 0.5 or more points.
54.3% chance that Brentford win or are within 0.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Aston Villa (-0.5)

Brentford (0.5)

45.7%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Aston Villa (-0.5)

BetUS	110
Break Even	47.6%
Probability	45.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Aston Villa (-0.5)

MyBookie	105
Break Even	48.8%
Probability	45.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

54.3%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Brentford (0.5)

BetUS	-130
Break Even	56.5%
Probability	54.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Brentford (0.5) spread must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Brentford (0.5)

MyBookie	-139
Break Even	58.2%
Probability	54.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Brentford (0.5) spread must be more likely than 58.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

52.3% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
47.7% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)

Under (2.5)

52.3%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Over (2.5)

Bovada	-120
Break Even	54.5%
Probability	52.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (2.5)

BetUS	-120
Break Even	54.5%
Probability	52.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (2.5)

BetRivers	-122
Break Even	55.0%
Probability	52.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 55.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (2.5)

MyBookie	-129
Break Even	56.3%
Probability	52.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 56.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (2.5)

BetMGM	-135
Break Even	57.4%
Probability	52.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

47.7%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Under (2.5)

Bovada	100
Break Even	50.0%
Probability	47.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (2.5)

BetUS	100
Break Even	50.0%
Probability	47.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (2.5)

MyBookie	-103
Break Even	50.7%
Probability	47.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 50.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (2.5)

BetRivers	-104
Break Even	51.0%
Probability	47.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 51.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (2.5)

BetMGM	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	47.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.