Liverpool vs Newcastle United

EPL - January 31, 2026 2:00 PM

Liverpool have a 54.7% of winning.
Newcastle United have a 21.9% of winning.
A Draw has a 23.5% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

LiverpoolNewcastle United
54.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanatics-13056.5%C

Liverpool
Fanatics-130
Break Even56.5%
Probability54.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-13256.9%F

Liverpool
-132
Break Even56.9%
Probability54.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 56.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-13256.9%F

Liverpool
Betonline.ag-132
Break Even56.9%
Probability54.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 56.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-13557.4%F

Liverpool
DraftKings-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability54.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-13557.4%F

Liverpool
Ceasers-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability54.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-13557.4%F

Liverpool
BetMGM-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability54.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-13557.4%F

Liverpool
Bovada-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability54.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
21.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel35022.2%B

Newcastle United
350
Break Even22.2%
Probability21.9%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 22.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.9%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Lowvig35022.2%B

Newcastle United
350
Break Even22.2%
Probability21.9%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 22.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.9%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Betonline.ag35022.2%B

Newcastle United
Betonline.ag350
Break Even22.2%
Probability21.9%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 22.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.9%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
BetUS35022.2%B

Newcastle United
BetUS350
Break Even22.2%
Probability21.9%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 22.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.9%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
DraftKings34022.7%C

Newcastle United
DraftKings340
Break Even22.7%
Probability21.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 22.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada34022.7%C

Newcastle United
Bovada340
Break Even22.7%
Probability21.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 22.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers33523.0%C

Newcastle United
BetRivers335
Break Even23.0%
Probability21.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 23.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Draw
23.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS31424.2%C

Draw
BetUS314
Break Even24.2%
Probability23.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 24.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings31024.4%C

Draw
DraftKings310
Break Even24.4%
Probability23.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 24.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig31024.4%C

Draw
310
Break Even24.4%
Probability23.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 24.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag31024.4%C

Draw
Betonline.ag310
Break Even24.4%
Probability23.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 24.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanatics31024.4%C

Draw
Fanatics310
Break Even24.4%
Probability23.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 24.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel30025.0%C

Draw
300
Break Even25.0%
Probability23.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers30025.0%C

Draw
Ceasers300
Break Even25.0%
Probability23.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

55.5% chance that Liverpool win by 0.5 or more points.
44.5% chance that Newcastle United win or are within 0.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Liverpool (-0.5)Newcastle United (0.5)
55.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS-14058.3%F

Liverpool (-0.5)
BetUS-140
Break Even58.3%
Probability55.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-14258.7%F

Liverpool (-0.5)
MyBookie-142
Break Even58.7%
Probability55.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 58.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
44.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS12045.5%C

Newcastle United (0.5)
BetUS120
Break Even45.5%
Probability44.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (0.5) spread must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie10748.3%F

Newcastle United (0.5)
MyBookie107
Break Even48.3%
Probability44.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (0.5) spread must be more likely than 48.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

52.4% chance that the total final score will be over 3 points.
47.6% chance that the total final score will be under 3 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3)Under (3)
52.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-12054.5%F

Over (3)
Bovada-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-12054.5%F

Over (3)
-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-12054.5%F

Over (3)
Betonline.ag-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-12054.5%F

Over (3)
BetUS-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
47.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig10449.0%C

Under (3)
104
Break Even49.0%
Probability47.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 49.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag10449.0%C

Under (3)
Betonline.ag104
Break Even49.0%
Probability47.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 49.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada10050.0%F

Under (3)
Bovada100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS10050.0%F

Under (3)
BetUS100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

41.2% chance that the total final score will be over 3.5 points.
58.8% chance that the total final score will be under 3.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3.5)Under (3.5)
41.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers13243.1%C

Over (3.5)
BetRivers132
Break Even43.1%
Probability41.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 43.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM12544.4%F

Over (3.5)
BetMGM125
Break Even44.4%
Probability41.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie12544.4%F

Over (3.5)
MyBookie125
Break Even44.4%
Probability41.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
58.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers-16762.5%F

Under (3.5)
BetRivers-167
Break Even62.5%
Probability58.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 62.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-16762.5%F

Under (3.5)
MyBookie-167
Break Even62.5%
Probability58.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 62.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-17563.6%F

Under (3.5)
BetMGM-175
Break Even63.6%
Probability58.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 63.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.