Liverpool vs Leeds United

EPL - January 1, 2026 11:30 AM

Leeds United have a 15.4% of winning.
Liverpool have a 62.8% of winning.
A Draw has a 21.8% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Leeds UnitedLiverpool
15.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Ceasers60014.3%A+

Leeds United
Ceasers600
Break Even14.3%
Probability15.4%
GradeA+
For this to be profitable, the Leeds United must be more likely than 14.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.4%, more likely, giving this bet a A+ grade.
Lowvig55015.4%A-

Leeds United
550
Break Even15.4%
Probability15.4%
GradeA-
For this to be profitable, the Leeds United must be more likely than 15.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.4%, more likely, giving this bet a A- grade.
Betonline.ag55015.4%A-

Leeds United
Betonline.ag550
Break Even15.4%
Probability15.4%
GradeA-
For this to be profitable, the Leeds United must be more likely than 15.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.4%, more likely, giving this bet a A- grade.
BetUS54515.5%B

Leeds United
BetUS545
Break Even15.5%
Probability15.4%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Leeds United must be more likely than 15.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.4%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
BetRivers51016.4%C

Leeds United
BetRivers510
Break Even16.4%
Probability15.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Leeds United must be more likely than 16.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel50016.7%C

Leeds United
500
Break Even16.7%
Probability15.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Leeds United must be more likely than 16.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings50016.7%C

Leeds United
DraftKings500
Break Even16.7%
Probability15.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Leeds United must be more likely than 16.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
62.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel-18564.9%F

Liverpool
-185
Break Even64.9%
Probability62.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 64.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-18865.3%F

Liverpool
Bovada-188
Break Even65.3%
Probability62.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 65.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-18865.3%F

Liverpool
MyBookie-188
Break Even65.3%
Probability62.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 65.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-19065.5%F

Liverpool
BetMGM-190
Break Even65.5%
Probability62.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 65.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-19365.9%F

Liverpool
-193
Break Even65.9%
Probability62.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 65.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-19365.9%F

Liverpool
Betonline.ag-193
Break Even65.9%
Probability62.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 65.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-19566.1%F

Liverpool
BetRivers-195
Break Even66.1%
Probability62.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 66.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Draw
21.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig35022.2%B

Draw
350
Break Even22.2%
Probability21.8%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 22.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.8%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Betonline.ag35022.2%B

Draw
Betonline.ag350
Break Even22.2%
Probability21.8%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 22.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.8%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
BetUS34522.5%C

Draw
BetUS345
Break Even22.5%
Probability21.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 22.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings34022.7%C

Draw
DraftKings340
Break Even22.7%
Probability21.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 22.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie34022.7%C

Draw
MyBookie340
Break Even22.7%
Probability21.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 22.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada33523.0%C

Draw
Bovada335
Break Even23.0%
Probability21.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 23.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM33323.1%C

Draw
BetMGM333
Break Even23.1%
Probability21.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 23.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

48.7% chance that Leeds United win or are within 1 points of winning.
51.3% chance that Liverpool win by 1 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Leeds United (1)Liverpool (-1)
48.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig10050.0%C

Leeds United (1)
100
Break Even50.0%
Probability48.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Leeds United (1) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag10050.0%C

Leeds United (1)
Betonline.ag100
Break Even50.0%
Probability48.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Leeds United (1) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS-10250.5%C

Leeds United (1)
BetUS-102
Break Even50.5%
Probability48.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Leeds United (1) spread must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada-11052.4%F

Leeds United (1)
Bovada-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability48.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Leeds United (1) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
51.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-11052.4%C

Liverpool (-1)
Bovada-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability51.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool (-1) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-11653.7%F

Liverpool (-1)
-116
Break Even53.7%
Probability51.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool (-1) spread must be more likely than 53.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-11653.7%F

Liverpool (-1)
Betonline.ag-116
Break Even53.7%
Probability51.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool (-1) spread must be more likely than 53.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11854.1%F

Liverpool (-1)
BetUS-118
Break Even54.1%
Probability51.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool (-1) spread must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

60.5% chance that Leeds United win or are within 1.5 points of winning.
39.5% chance that Liverpool win by 1.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Leeds United (1.5)Liverpool (-1.5)
60.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie-17463.5%F

Leeds United (1.5)
MyBookie-174
Break Even63.5%
Probability60.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Leeds United (1.5) spread must be more likely than 63.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 60.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
39.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie14141.5%C

Liverpool (-1.5)
MyBookie141
Break Even41.5%
Probability39.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 41.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Totals:

56.0% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
44.0% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
56.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS-13757.8%C

Over (2.5)
BetUS-137
Break Even57.8%
Probability56.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 57.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie-14058.3%F

Over (2.5)
MyBookie-140
Break Even58.3%
Probability56.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-15060.0%F

Over (2.5)
BetMGM-150
Break Even60.0%
Probability56.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 60.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-15260.3%F

Over (2.5)
BetRivers-152
Break Even60.3%
Probability56.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 60.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
44.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers12045.5%C

Under (2.5)
BetRivers120
Break Even45.5%
Probability44.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS11746.1%F

Under (2.5)
BetUS117
Break Even46.1%
Probability44.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 46.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie11446.7%F

Under (2.5)
MyBookie114
Break Even46.7%
Probability44.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 46.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM11047.6%F

Under (2.5)
BetMGM110
Break Even47.6%
Probability44.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.