Manchester United vs Newcastle United

EPL - December 26, 2025 2:00 PM

Manchester United have a 42.6% of winning.
Newcastle United have a 31.3% of winning.
A Draw has a 26.2% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Manchester United

Newcastle United

42.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Fanduel

125

44.4%

Manchester United

	125
Break Even	44.4%
Probability	42.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Manchester United must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Fanatics

120

45.5%

Manchester United

Fanatics	120
Break Even	45.5%
Probability	42.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Manchester United must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

MyBookie

116

46.3%

Manchester United

MyBookie	116
Break Even	46.3%
Probability	42.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Manchester United must be more likely than 46.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

31.3%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Fanduel

200

33.3%

Newcastle United

	200
Break Even	33.3%
Probability	31.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 33.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 31.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Fanatics

200

33.3%

Newcastle United

Fanatics	200
Break Even	33.3%
Probability	31.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 33.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 31.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

MyBookie

199

33.4%

Newcastle United

MyBookie	199
Break Even	33.4%
Probability	31.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 33.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 31.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Draw

26.2%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Fanduel

260

27.8%

Draw

	260
Break Even	27.8%
Probability	26.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Fanatics

260

27.8%

Draw

Fanatics	260
Break Even	27.8%
Probability	26.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

MyBookie

255

28.2%

Draw

MyBookie	255
Break Even	28.2%
Probability	26.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

43.7% chance that Manchester United win by 0.5 or more points.
56.3% chance that Newcastle United win or are within 0.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Manchester United (-0.5)

Newcastle United (0.5)

43.7%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

MyBookie

112

47.2%

Manchester United (-0.5)

MyBookie	112
Break Even	47.2%
Probability	43.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Manchester United (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 47.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

56.3%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

MyBookie

-155

60.8%

Newcastle United (0.5)

MyBookie	-155
Break Even	60.8%
Probability	56.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (0.5) spread must be more likely than 60.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

58.2% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
41.8% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)

Under (2.5)

58.2%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

MyBookie

-169

62.8%

Over (2.5)

MyBookie	-169
Break Even	62.8%
Probability	58.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 62.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

41.8%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

MyBookie

122

45.0%

Under (2.5)

MyBookie	122
Break Even	45.0%
Probability	41.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 45.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.