Aston Villa vs Manchester United

EPL - December 21, 2025 10:30 AM

Aston Villa have a 44.8% of winning.
Manchester United have a 28.9% of winning.
A Draw has a 26.3% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Aston VillaManchester United
44.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig11746.1%C

Aston Villa
117
Break Even46.1%
Probability44.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 46.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag11746.1%C

Aston Villa
Betonline.ag117
Break Even46.1%
Probability44.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 46.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel11047.6%F

Aston Villa
110
Break Even47.6%
Probability44.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings11047.6%F

Aston Villa
DraftKings110
Break Even47.6%
Probability44.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanatics11047.6%F

Aston Villa
Fanatics110
Break Even47.6%
Probability44.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers10848.1%F

Aston Villa
BetRivers108
Break Even48.1%
Probability44.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 48.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada10748.3%F

Aston Villa
Bovada107
Break Even48.3%
Probability44.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 48.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie10748.3%F

Aston Villa
MyBookie107
Break Even48.3%
Probability44.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 48.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
28.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada23529.9%C

Manchester United
Bovada235
Break Even29.9%
Probability28.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Manchester United must be more likely than 29.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel23030.3%C

Manchester United
230
Break Even30.3%
Probability28.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Manchester United must be more likely than 30.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanatics23030.3%C

Manchester United
Fanatics230
Break Even30.3%
Probability28.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Manchester United must be more likely than 30.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings22530.8%C

Manchester United
DraftKings225
Break Even30.8%
Probability28.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Manchester United must be more likely than 30.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers22530.8%C

Manchester United
BetRivers225
Break Even30.8%
Probability28.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Manchester United must be more likely than 30.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig22530.8%C

Manchester United
225
Break Even30.8%
Probability28.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Manchester United must be more likely than 30.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag22530.8%C

Manchester United
Betonline.ag225
Break Even30.8%
Probability28.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Manchester United must be more likely than 30.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie21831.4%F

Manchester United
MyBookie218
Break Even31.4%
Probability28.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester United must be more likely than 31.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Draw
26.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers27526.7%B

Draw
BetRivers275
Break Even26.7%
Probability26.3%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.3%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Bovada26527.4%C

Draw
Bovada265
Break Even27.4%
Probability26.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings26027.8%C

Draw
DraftKings260
Break Even27.8%
Probability26.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig25728.0%C

Draw
257
Break Even28.0%
Probability26.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag25728.0%C

Draw
Betonline.ag257
Break Even28.0%
Probability26.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie25528.2%C

Draw
MyBookie255
Break Even28.2%
Probability26.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel25028.6%F

Draw
250
Break Even28.6%
Probability26.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanatics25028.6%F

Draw
Fanatics250
Break Even28.6%
Probability26.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

45.4% chance that Aston Villa win by 0.5 or more points.
54.6% chance that Manchester United win or are within 0.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Aston Villa (-0.5)Manchester United (0.5)
45.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie10449.0%F

Aston Villa (-0.5)
MyBookie104
Break Even49.0%
Probability45.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 49.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
54.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie-14358.8%F

Manchester United (0.5)
MyBookie-143
Break Even58.8%
Probability54.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester United (0.5) spread must be more likely than 58.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

57.0% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
43.0% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
57.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers-15560.8%F

Over (2.5)
BetRivers-155
Break Even60.8%
Probability57.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 60.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-15861.2%F

Over (2.5)
MyBookie-158
Break Even61.2%
Probability57.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 61.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
43.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers12045.5%F

Under (2.5)
BetRivers120
Break Even45.5%
Probability43.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie11446.7%F

Under (2.5)
MyBookie114
Break Even46.7%
Probability43.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 46.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.