Newcastle United vs Chelsea

EPL - December 20, 2025 6:30 AM

Chelsea have a 34.5% of winning.
Newcastle United have a 39.0% of winning.
A Draw has a 26.5% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

ChelseaNewcastle United
34.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel18035.7%C

Chelsea
180
Break Even35.7%
Probability34.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 35.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 34.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers17536.4%C

Chelsea
BetRivers175
Break Even36.4%
Probability34.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 36.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 34.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanatics17536.4%C

Chelsea
Fanatics175
Break Even36.4%
Probability34.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 36.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 34.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada17336.6%F

Chelsea
Bovada173
Break Even36.6%
Probability34.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 36.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 34.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig17236.8%F

Chelsea
172
Break Even36.8%
Probability34.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 36.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 34.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag17236.8%F

Chelsea
Betonline.ag172
Break Even36.8%
Probability34.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 36.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 34.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings17037.0%F

Chelsea
DraftKings170
Break Even37.0%
Probability34.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 37.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 34.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie17037.0%F

Chelsea
MyBookie170
Break Even37.0%
Probability34.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 37.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 34.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
39.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada14540.8%C

Newcastle United
Bovada145
Break Even40.8%
Probability39.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 40.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers14341.2%F

Newcastle United
BetRivers143
Break Even41.2%
Probability39.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 41.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig14341.2%F

Newcastle United
143
Break Even41.2%
Probability39.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 41.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag14341.2%F

Newcastle United
Betonline.ag143
Break Even41.2%
Probability39.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 41.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel14041.7%F

Newcastle United
140
Break Even41.7%
Probability39.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 41.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings14041.7%F

Newcastle United
DraftKings140
Break Even41.7%
Probability39.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 41.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanatics14041.7%F

Newcastle United
Fanatics140
Break Even41.7%
Probability39.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 41.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie13742.2%F

Newcastle United
MyBookie137
Break Even42.2%
Probability39.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 42.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Draw
26.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig26927.1%C

Draw
269
Break Even27.1%
Probability26.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag26927.1%C

Draw
Betonline.ag269
Break Even27.1%
Probability26.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings26027.8%C

Draw
DraftKings260
Break Even27.8%
Probability26.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers25528.2%C

Draw
BetRivers255
Break Even28.2%
Probability26.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada25528.2%C

Draw
Bovada255
Break Even28.2%
Probability26.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanatics25028.6%F

Draw
Fanatics250
Break Even28.6%
Probability26.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie24828.7%F

Draw
MyBookie248
Break Even28.7%
Probability26.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel24029.4%F

Draw
240
Break Even29.4%
Probability26.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 29.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

47.2% chance that Chelsea win by 0 or more points.
52.8% chance that Newcastle United win by 0 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Chelsea (0)Newcastle United (0)
47.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig10349.3%F

Chelsea (0)
103
Break Even49.3%
Probability47.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea (0) spread must be more likely than 49.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag10349.3%F

Chelsea (0)
Betonline.ag103
Break Even49.3%
Probability47.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea (0) spread must be more likely than 49.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada10249.5%F

Chelsea (0)
Bovada102
Break Even49.5%
Probability47.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea (0) spread must be more likely than 49.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
52.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-12255.0%F

Newcastle United (0)
Bovada-122
Break Even55.0%
Probability52.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (0) spread must be more likely than 55.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-12355.2%F

Newcastle United (0)
-123
Break Even55.2%
Probability52.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (0) spread must be more likely than 55.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-12355.2%F

Newcastle United (0)
Betonline.ag-123
Break Even55.2%
Probability52.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (0) spread must be more likely than 55.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

59.9% chance that Chelsea win or are within 0.5 points of winning.
40.1% chance that Newcastle United win by 0.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Chelsea (0.5)Newcastle United (-0.5)
59.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie-18464.8%F

Chelsea (0.5)
MyBookie-184
Break Even64.8%
Probability59.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea (0.5) spread must be more likely than 64.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
40.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie13143.3%F

Newcastle United (-0.5)
MyBookie131
Break Even43.3%
Probability40.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 43.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

54.7% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
45.3% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
54.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers-13757.8%F

Over (2.5)
BetRivers-137
Break Even57.8%
Probability54.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 57.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-14659.3%F

Over (2.5)
MyBookie-146
Break Even59.3%
Probability54.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 59.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
45.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers10848.1%F

Under (2.5)
BetRivers108
Break Even48.1%
Probability45.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 48.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie10548.8%F

Under (2.5)
MyBookie105
Break Even48.8%
Probability45.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.