Newcastle United vs Burnley

EPL - December 6, 2025 9:00 AM

Burnley have a 9.5% of winning.
Newcastle United have a 74.2% of winning.
A Draw has a 16.3% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Newcastle United

9.5%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Burnley

BetRivers	1050
Break Even	8.7%
Probability	9.5%
Grade	A+

For this to be profitable, the Burnley must be more likely than 8.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 9.5%, more likely, giving this bet a A+ grade.

Burnley

	1000
Break Even	9.1%
Probability	9.5%
Grade	A

For this to be profitable, the Burnley must be more likely than 9.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 9.5%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.

Burnley

	925
Break Even	9.8%
Probability	9.5%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, the Burnley must be more likely than 9.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 9.5%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

Burnley

Betonline.ag	925
Break Even	9.8%
Probability	9.5%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, the Burnley must be more likely than 9.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 9.5%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

Burnley

Ceasers	900
Break Even	10.0%
Probability	9.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Burnley must be more likely than 10.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 9.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Burnley

Fanatics	900
Break Even	10.0%
Probability	9.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Burnley must be more likely than 10.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 9.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Burnley

Bovada	875
Break Even	10.3%
Probability	9.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Burnley must be more likely than 10.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 9.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

74.2%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Newcastle United

Ceasers	-340
Break Even	77.3%
Probability	74.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 77.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 74.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Newcastle United

DraftKings	-350
Break Even	77.8%
Probability	74.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 77.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 74.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Newcastle United

BetMGM	-350
Break Even	77.8%
Probability	74.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 77.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 74.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Newcastle United

	-350
Break Even	77.8%
Probability	74.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 77.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 74.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Newcastle United

Betonline.ag	-350
Break Even	77.8%
Probability	74.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 77.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 74.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Newcastle United

Fanatics	-350
Break Even	77.8%
Probability	74.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 77.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 74.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Newcastle United

MyBookie	-360
Break Even	78.3%
Probability	74.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 78.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 74.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Draw

16.3%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Draw

	525
Break Even	16.0%
Probability	16.3%
Grade	A

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 16.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 16.3%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.

Draw

Betonline.ag	525
Break Even	16.0%
Probability	16.3%
Grade	A

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 16.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 16.3%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.

Draw

DraftKings	500
Break Even	16.7%
Probability	16.3%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 16.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 16.3%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

Draw

Bovada	500
Break Even	16.7%
Probability	16.3%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 16.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 16.3%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

Draw

BetUS	500
Break Even	16.7%
Probability	16.3%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 16.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 16.3%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

Draw

	480
Break Even	17.2%
Probability	16.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 17.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 16.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

BetMGM	475
Break Even	17.4%
Probability	16.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 17.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 16.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

47.6% chance that Burnley win or are within 1.5 points of winning.
52.4% chance that Newcastle United win by 1.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Burnley (1.5)

Newcastle United (-1.5)

47.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Burnley (1.5)

	104
Break Even	49.0%
Probability	47.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Burnley (1.5) spread must be more likely than 49.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Burnley (1.5)

Betonline.ag	104
Break Even	49.0%
Probability	47.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Burnley (1.5) spread must be more likely than 49.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Burnley (1.5)

Bovada	102
Break Even	49.5%
Probability	47.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Burnley (1.5) spread must be more likely than 49.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Burnley (1.5)

BetUS	100
Break Even	50.0%
Probability	47.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Burnley (1.5) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Burnley (1.5)

MyBookie	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	47.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Burnley (1.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

52.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Newcastle United (-1.5)

	-120
Break Even	54.5%
Probability	52.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Newcastle United (-1.5)

Betonline.ag	-120
Break Even	54.5%
Probability	52.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Newcastle United (-1.5)

BetUS	-120
Break Even	54.5%
Probability	52.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Newcastle United (-1.5)

Bovada	-122
Break Even	55.0%
Probability	52.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 55.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Newcastle United (-1.5)

MyBookie	-126
Break Even	55.8%
Probability	52.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 55.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

59.1% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
40.9% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)

Under (2.5)

59.1%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Over (2.5)

BetRivers	-167
Break Even	62.5%
Probability	59.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 62.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (2.5)

MyBookie	-174
Break Even	63.5%
Probability	59.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 63.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (2.5)

BetMGM	-175
Break Even	63.6%
Probability	59.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 63.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

40.9%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Under (2.5)

BetRivers	132
Break Even	43.1%
Probability	40.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 43.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (2.5)

MyBookie	130
Break Even	43.5%
Probability	40.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (2.5)

BetMGM	125
Break Even	44.4%
Probability	40.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

48.5% chance that the total final score will be over 3 points.
51.5% chance that the total final score will be under 3 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3)

Under (3)

48.5%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Over (3)

Bovada	-102
Break Even	50.5%
Probability	48.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (3)

	-102
Break Even	50.5%
Probability	48.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (3)

Betonline.ag	-102
Break Even	50.5%
Probability	48.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (3)

BetUS	-102
Break Even	50.5%
Probability	48.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

51.5%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Under (3)

	-114
Break Even	53.3%
Probability	51.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 53.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Under (3)

Betonline.ag	-114
Break Even	53.3%
Probability	51.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 53.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Under (3)

Bovada	-118
Break Even	54.1%
Probability	51.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (3)

BetUS	-118
Break Even	54.1%
Probability	51.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.