Manchester City vs Sunderland

EPL - December 6, 2025 9:00 AM

Manchester City have a 76.8% of winning.
Sunderland have a 8.3% of winning.
A Draw has a 14.9% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Manchester CitySunderland
76.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetMGM-37578.9%F

Manchester City
BetMGM-375
Break Even78.9%
Probability76.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 78.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 76.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-40080.0%F

Manchester City
DraftKings-400
Break Even80.0%
Probability76.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 80.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 76.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-40080.0%F

Manchester City
Ceasers-400
Break Even80.0%
Probability76.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 80.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 76.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-40580.2%F

Manchester City
-405
Break Even80.2%
Probability76.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 80.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 76.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-40580.2%F

Manchester City
Betonline.ag-405
Break Even80.2%
Probability76.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 80.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 76.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-41080.4%F

Manchester City
MyBookie-410
Break Even80.4%
Probability76.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 80.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 76.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-42581.0%F

Manchester City
Bovada-425
Break Even81.0%
Probability76.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 81.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 76.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
8.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel12007.7%A

Sunderland
1200
Break Even7.7%
Probability8.3%
GradeA
For this to be profitable, the Sunderland must be more likely than 7.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 8.3%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.
BetRivers12007.7%A

Sunderland
BetRivers1200
Break Even7.7%
Probability8.3%
GradeA
For this to be profitable, the Sunderland must be more likely than 7.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 8.3%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.
Ceasers11008.3%A-

Sunderland
Ceasers1100
Break Even8.3%
Probability8.3%
GradeA-
For this to be profitable, the Sunderland must be more likely than 8.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 8.3%, more likely, giving this bet a A- grade.
Lowvig10508.7%B

Sunderland
1050
Break Even8.7%
Probability8.3%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Sunderland must be more likely than 8.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 8.3%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Betonline.ag10508.7%B

Sunderland
Betonline.ag1050
Break Even8.7%
Probability8.3%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Sunderland must be more likely than 8.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 8.3%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Fanatics10508.7%B

Sunderland
Fanatics1050
Break Even8.7%
Probability8.3%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Sunderland must be more likely than 8.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 8.3%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
DraftKings10009.1%C

Sunderland
DraftKings1000
Break Even9.1%
Probability8.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Sunderland must be more likely than 9.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 8.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Draw
14.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig58014.7%A-

Draw
580
Break Even14.7%
Probability14.9%
GradeA-
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 14.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 14.9%, more likely, giving this bet a A- grade.
Betonline.ag58014.7%A-

Draw
Betonline.ag580
Break Even14.7%
Probability14.9%
GradeA-
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 14.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 14.9%, more likely, giving this bet a A- grade.
Fanduel55015.4%C

Draw
550
Break Even15.4%
Probability14.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 15.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 14.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings55015.4%C

Draw
DraftKings550
Break Even15.4%
Probability14.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 15.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 14.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada55015.4%C

Draw
Bovada550
Break Even15.4%
Probability14.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 15.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 14.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS55015.4%C

Draw
BetUS550
Break Even15.4%
Probability14.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 15.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 14.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanatics55015.4%C

Draw
Fanatics550
Break Even15.4%
Probability14.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 15.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 14.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

55.2% chance that Manchester City win by 1.5 or more points.
44.8% chance that Sunderland win or are within 1.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Manchester City (-1.5)Sunderland (1.5)
55.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie-14459.0%F

Manchester City (-1.5)
MyBookie-144
Break Even59.0%
Probability55.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 59.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
44.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie10947.8%F

Sunderland (1.5)
MyBookie109
Break Even47.8%
Probability44.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Sunderland (1.5) spread must be more likely than 47.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

43.8% chance that Manchester City win by 2 or more points.
56.2% chance that Sunderland win or are within 2 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Manchester City (-2)Sunderland (2)
43.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS12045.5%C

Manchester City (-2)
BetUS120
Break Even45.5%
Probability43.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-2) spread must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
56.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS-14058.3%F

Sunderland (2)
BetUS-140
Break Even58.3%
Probability56.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Sunderland (2) spread must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

42.0% chance that the total final score will be over 3.5 points.
58.0% chance that the total final score will be under 3.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3.5)Under (3.5)
42.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetMGM12544.4%F

Over (3.5)
BetMGM125
Break Even44.4%
Probability42.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie12245.0%F

Over (3.5)
MyBookie122
Break Even45.0%
Probability42.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 45.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers12045.5%F

Over (3.5)
BetRivers120
Break Even45.5%
Probability42.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
58.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers-15560.8%F

Under (3.5)
BetRivers-155
Break Even60.8%
Probability58.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 60.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-16261.8%F

Under (3.5)
MyBookie-162
Break Even61.8%
Probability58.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 61.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-17563.6%F

Under (3.5)
BetMGM-175
Break Even63.6%
Probability58.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 63.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.