Bournemouth vs Chelsea

EPL - December 6, 2025 9:00 AM

Bournemouth have a 29.9% of winning.
Chelsea have a 44.1% of winning.
A Draw has a 26.0% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

29.9%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Bournemouth

	222
Break Even	31.1%
Probability	29.9%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 31.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Bournemouth

Betonline.ag	222
Break Even	31.1%
Probability	29.9%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 31.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Bournemouth

	220
Break Even	31.2%
Probability	29.9%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 31.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Bournemouth

DraftKings	220
Break Even	31.2%
Probability	29.9%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 31.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Bournemouth

Ceasers	220
Break Even	31.2%
Probability	29.9%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 31.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Bournemouth

BetMGM	220
Break Even	31.2%
Probability	29.9%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 31.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Bournemouth

BetUS	220
Break Even	31.2%
Probability	29.9%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 31.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

44.1%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Chelsea

	118
Break Even	45.9%
Probability	44.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 45.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Chelsea

Betonline.ag	118
Break Even	45.9%
Probability	44.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 45.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Chelsea

BetRivers	116
Break Even	46.3%
Probability	44.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 46.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Chelsea

	115
Break Even	46.5%
Probability	44.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Chelsea

DraftKings	115
Break Even	46.5%
Probability	44.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Chelsea

Ceasers	115
Break Even	46.5%
Probability	44.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Chelsea

BetMGM	115
Break Even	46.5%
Probability	44.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Draw

26.0%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Draw

	277
Break Even	26.5%
Probability	26.0%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

Betonline.ag	277
Break Even	26.5%
Probability	26.0%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

Bovada	275
Break Even	26.7%
Probability	26.0%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

BetUS	275
Break Even	26.7%
Probability	26.0%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

DraftKings	270
Break Even	27.0%
Probability	26.0%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

	260
Break Even	27.8%
Probability	26.0%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

BetRivers	260
Break Even	27.8%
Probability	26.0%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

54.8% chance that Bournemouth win or are within 0.5 points of winning.
45.2% chance that Chelsea win by 0.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Bournemouth (0.5)

Chelsea (-0.5)

54.8%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Bournemouth (0.5)

BetUS	-130
Break Even	56.5%
Probability	54.8%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth (0.5) spread must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Bournemouth (0.5)

MyBookie	-144
Break Even	59.0%
Probability	54.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth (0.5) spread must be more likely than 59.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

45.2%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Chelsea (-0.5)

BetUS	110
Break Even	47.6%
Probability	45.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Chelsea (-0.5)

MyBookie	109
Break Even	47.8%
Probability	45.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 47.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

57.4% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
42.6% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)

Under (2.5)

57.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Over (2.5)

BetUS	-150
Break Even	60.0%
Probability	57.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 60.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (2.5)

BetRivers	-152
Break Even	60.3%
Probability	57.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 60.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (2.5)

MyBookie	-159
Break Even	61.4%
Probability	57.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 61.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (2.5)

BetMGM	-160
Break Even	61.5%
Probability	57.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 61.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

42.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Under (2.5)

BetUS	130
Break Even	43.5%
Probability	42.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Under (2.5)

BetRivers	120
Break Even	45.5%
Probability	42.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (2.5)

MyBookie	120
Break Even	45.5%
Probability	42.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (2.5)

BetMGM	115
Break Even	46.5%
Probability	42.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.