Newcastle United vs Chelsea

EPL - May 11, 2025 6:00 AM

Chelsea have a 31.5% of winning.
Newcastle United have a 42.4% of winning.
A Draw has a 26.0% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

ChelseaNewcastle United
31.5%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Lowvig21132.2%C

Chelsea
211
Break Even32.2%
Probability31.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 32.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 31.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag21132.2%C

Chelsea
Betonline.ag211
Break Even32.2%
Probability31.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 32.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 31.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS21032.3%C

Chelsea
BetUS210
Break Even32.3%
Probability31.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 32.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 31.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers20532.8%C

Chelsea
BetRivers205
Break Even32.8%
Probability31.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 32.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 31.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel20033.3%C

Chelsea
200
Break Even33.3%
Probability31.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 33.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 31.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada20033.3%C

Chelsea
Bovada200
Break Even33.3%
Probability31.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 33.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 31.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie19933.4%C

Chelsea
MyBookie199
Break Even33.4%
Probability31.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 33.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 31.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
42.4%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
BetRivers13043.5%C

Newcastle United
BetRivers130
Break Even43.5%
Probability42.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie12644.2%C

Newcastle United
MyBookie126
Break Even44.2%
Probability42.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 44.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings12544.4%F

Newcastle United
DraftKings125
Break Even44.4%
Probability42.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM12544.4%F

Newcastle United
BetMGM125
Break Even44.4%
Probability42.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada12544.4%F

Newcastle United
Bovada125
Break Even44.4%
Probability42.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS12544.4%F

Newcastle United
BetUS125
Break Even44.4%
Probability42.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig12444.6%F

Newcastle United
124
Break Even44.6%
Probability42.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 44.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Draw
26.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Lowvig27526.7%C

Draw
275
Break Even26.7%
Probability26.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag27526.7%C

Draw
Betonline.ag275
Break Even26.7%
Probability26.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS27526.7%C

Draw
BetUS275
Break Even26.7%
Probability26.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel27027.0%C

Draw
270
Break Even27.0%
Probability26.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings27027.0%C

Draw
DraftKings270
Break Even27.0%
Probability26.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada27027.0%C

Draw
Bovada270
Break Even27.0%
Probability26.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie26527.4%C

Draw
MyBookie265
Break Even27.4%
Probability26.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

41.8% chance that Chelsea win by 0 or more points.
58.2% chance that Newcastle United win by 0 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Chelsea (0)Newcastle United (0)
41.8%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
BetUS13143.3%C

Chelsea (0)
BetUS131
Break Even43.3%
Probability41.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea (0) spread must be more likely than 43.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
58.2%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
BetUS-15160.2%F

Newcastle United (0)
BetUS-151
Break Even60.2%
Probability58.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (0) spread must be more likely than 60.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

57.5% chance that Chelsea win or are within 0.5 points of winning.
42.5% chance that Newcastle United win by 0.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Chelsea (0.5)Newcastle United (-0.5)
57.5%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
MyBookie-15260.3%F

Chelsea (0.5)
MyBookie-152
Break Even60.3%
Probability57.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea (0.5) spread must be more likely than 60.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
42.5%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
MyBookie12444.6%F

Newcastle United (-0.5)
MyBookie124
Break Even44.6%
Probability42.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 44.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

60.5% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
39.5% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
60.5%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
BetRivers-17763.9%F

Over (2.5)
BetRivers-177
Break Even63.9%
Probability60.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 63.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 60.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
39.5%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
BetRivers14041.7%F

Under (2.5)
BetRivers140
Break Even41.7%
Probability39.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 41.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.3% chance that the total final score will be over 3 points.
49.7% chance that the total final score will be under 3 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3)Under (3)
50.3%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Lowvig-10851.9%C

Over (3)
-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability50.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-10851.9%C

Over (3)
Betonline.ag-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability50.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS-11152.6%F

Over (3)
BetUS-111
Break Even52.6%
Probability50.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 52.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-11252.8%F

Over (3)
Bovada-112
Break Even52.8%
Probability50.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-11453.3%F

Over (3)
MyBookie-114
Break Even53.3%
Probability50.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 53.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
49.7%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Bovada-10851.9%F

Under (3)
Bovada-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability49.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-10851.9%F

Under (3)
-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability49.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-10851.9%F

Under (3)
MyBookie-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability49.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-10851.9%F

Under (3)
Betonline.ag-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability49.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-10952.2%F

Under (3)
BetUS-109
Break Even52.2%
Probability49.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 52.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.