Southampton vs Manchester City

EPL - May 10, 2025 9:00 AM

Manchester City have a 80.0% of winning.
Southampton have a 7.0% of winning.
A Draw has a 13.0% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Manchester CitySouthampton
80.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-50083.3%F

Manchester City
Bovada-500
Break Even83.3%
Probability80.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 83.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 80.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-50083.3%F

Manchester City
-500
Break Even83.3%
Probability80.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 83.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 80.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-50083.3%F

Manchester City
MyBookie-500
Break Even83.3%
Probability80.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 83.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 80.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-50083.3%F

Manchester City
Betonline.ag-500
Break Even83.3%
Probability80.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 83.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 80.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-52083.9%F

Manchester City
BetUS-520
Break Even83.9%
Probability80.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 83.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 80.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-52584.0%F

Manchester City
DraftKings-525
Break Even84.0%
Probability80.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 84.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 80.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-56084.8%F

Manchester City
BetRivers-560
Break Even84.8%
Probability80.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 84.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 80.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-60085.7%F

Manchester City
-600
Break Even85.7%
Probability80.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 85.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 80.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
7.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel14006.7%A

Southampton
1400
Break Even6.7%
Probability7.0%
GradeA
For this to be profitable, the Southampton must be more likely than 6.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 7.0%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.
BetRivers13007.1%B

Southampton
BetRivers1300
Break Even7.1%
Probability7.0%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Southampton must be more likely than 7.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 7.0%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Lowvig12807.2%B

Southampton
1280
Break Even7.2%
Probability7.0%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Southampton must be more likely than 7.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 7.0%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Betonline.ag12807.2%B

Southampton
Betonline.ag1280
Break Even7.2%
Probability7.0%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Southampton must be more likely than 7.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 7.0%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
BetUS12607.4%B

Southampton
BetUS1260
Break Even7.4%
Probability7.0%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Southampton must be more likely than 7.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 7.0%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
DraftKings12007.7%C

Southampton
DraftKings1200
Break Even7.7%
Probability7.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Southampton must be more likely than 7.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 7.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada12007.7%C

Southampton
Bovada1200
Break Even7.7%
Probability7.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Southampton must be more likely than 7.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 7.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie12007.7%C

Southampton
MyBookie1200
Break Even7.7%
Probability7.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Southampton must be more likely than 7.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 7.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Draw
13.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig67013.0%B

Draw
670
Break Even13.0%
Probability13.0%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 13.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 13.0%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Betonline.ag67013.0%B

Draw
Betonline.ag670
Break Even13.0%
Probability13.0%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 13.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 13.0%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
DraftKings65013.3%B

Draw
DraftKings650
Break Even13.3%
Probability13.0%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 13.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 13.0%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
BetRivers65013.3%B

Draw
BetRivers650
Break Even13.3%
Probability13.0%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 13.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 13.0%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
BetUS63513.6%C

Draw
BetUS635
Break Even13.6%
Probability13.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 13.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 13.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie61014.1%C

Draw
MyBookie610
Break Even14.1%
Probability13.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 14.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 13.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel60014.3%C

Draw
600
Break Even14.3%
Probability13.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 14.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 13.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada60014.3%C

Draw
Bovada600
Break Even14.3%
Probability13.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 14.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 13.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

60.0% chance that Manchester City win by 1.5 or more points.
40.0% chance that Southampton win or are within 1.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Manchester City (-1.5)Southampton (1.5)
60.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie-17063.0%F

Manchester City (-1.5)
MyBookie-170
Break Even63.0%
Probability60.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 63.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 60.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
40.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie13842.0%C

Southampton (1.5)
MyBookie138
Break Even42.0%
Probability40.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Southampton (1.5) spread must be more likely than 42.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

50.6% chance that Manchester City win by 2 or more points.
49.4% chance that Southampton win or are within 2 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Manchester City (-2)Southampton (2)
50.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-10851.9%C

Manchester City (-2)
Bovada-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability50.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-2) spread must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-11152.6%F

Manchester City (-2)
-111
Break Even52.6%
Probability50.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-2) spread must be more likely than 52.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-11152.6%F

Manchester City (-2)
Betonline.ag-111
Break Even52.6%
Probability50.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-2) spread must be more likely than 52.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11753.9%F

Manchester City (-2)
BetUS-117
Break Even53.9%
Probability50.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-2) spread must be more likely than 53.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
49.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS-10350.7%C

Southampton (2)
BetUS-103
Break Even50.7%
Probability49.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Southampton (2) spread must be more likely than 50.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-10551.2%C

Southampton (2)
-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Southampton (2) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-10551.2%C

Southampton (2)
Betonline.ag-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Southampton (2) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada-11252.8%F

Southampton (2)
Bovada-112
Break Even52.8%
Probability49.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Southampton (2) spread must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

47.4% chance that the total final score will be over 3.5 points.
52.6% chance that the total final score will be under 3.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3.5)Under (3.5)
47.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie11047.6%B

Over (3.5)
MyBookie110
Break Even47.6%
Probability47.4%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.4%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
BetUS10548.8%C

Over (3.5)
BetUS105
Break Even48.8%
Probability47.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig10249.5%F

Over (3.5)
102
Break Even49.5%
Probability47.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 49.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag10249.5%F

Over (3.5)
Betonline.ag102
Break Even49.5%
Probability47.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 49.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-10551.2%F

Over (3.5)
BetMGM-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability47.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-10851.9%F

Over (3.5)
BetRivers-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability47.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
52.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers-11553.5%C

Under (3.5)
BetRivers-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability52.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-11854.1%C

Under (3.5)
-118
Break Even54.1%
Probability52.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-11854.1%C

Under (3.5)
Betonline.ag-118
Break Even54.1%
Probability52.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS-12555.6%F

Under (3.5)
BetUS-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability52.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-13056.5%F

Under (3.5)
BetMGM-130
Break Even56.5%
Probability52.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-13557.4%F

Under (3.5)
MyBookie-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability52.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.