Bournemouth vs Aston Villa

EPL - May 10, 2025 11:30 AM

Aston Villa have a 35.5% of winning.
Bournemouth have a 37.3% of winning.
A Draw has a 27.2% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Aston Villa

Bournemouth

35.5%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

DraftKings

175

36.4%

Aston Villa

DraftKings	175
Break Even	36.4%
Probability	35.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 36.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Lowvig

175

36.4%

Aston Villa

	175
Break Even	36.4%
Probability	35.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 36.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Betonline.ag

175

36.4%

Aston Villa

Betonline.ag	175
Break Even	36.4%
Probability	35.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 36.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Fanduel

170

37.0%

Aston Villa

	170
Break Even	37.0%
Probability	35.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 37.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

MyBookie

168

37.3%

Aston Villa

MyBookie	168
Break Even	37.3%
Probability	35.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 37.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

BetUS

167

37.5%

Aston Villa

BetUS	167
Break Even	37.5%
Probability	35.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 37.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

BetRivers

165

37.7%

Aston Villa

BetRivers	165
Break Even	37.7%
Probability	35.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 37.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

37.3%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Fanatics

160

38.5%

Bournemouth

Fanatics	160
Break Even	38.5%
Probability	37.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 38.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Lowvig

156

39.1%

Bournemouth

	156
Break Even	39.1%
Probability	37.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 39.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Betonline.ag

156

39.1%

Bournemouth

Betonline.ag	156
Break Even	39.1%
Probability	37.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 39.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Fanduel

155

39.2%

Bournemouth

	155
Break Even	39.2%
Probability	37.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 39.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

DraftKings

155

39.2%

Bournemouth

DraftKings	155
Break Even	39.2%
Probability	37.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 39.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

BetRivers

155

39.2%

Bournemouth

BetRivers	155
Break Even	39.2%
Probability	37.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 39.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

BetMGM

155

39.2%

Bournemouth

BetMGM	155
Break Even	39.2%
Probability	37.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 39.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

27.2%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Lowvig

257

28.0%

Draw

	257
Break Even	28.0%
Probability	27.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Betonline.ag

257

28.0%

Draw

Betonline.ag	257
Break Even	28.0%
Probability	27.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Bovada

255

28.2%

Draw

Bovada	255
Break Even	28.2%
Probability	27.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

BetUS

255

28.2%

Draw

BetUS	255
Break Even	28.2%
Probability	27.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Fanduel

250

28.6%

Draw

	250
Break Even	28.6%
Probability	27.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

DraftKings

250

28.6%

Draw

DraftKings	250
Break Even	28.6%
Probability	27.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

MyBookie

250

28.6%

Draw

MyBookie	250
Break Even	28.6%
Probability	27.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

48.6% chance that Aston Villa win by 0 or more points.
51.4% chance that Bournemouth win by 0 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Aston Villa (0)

Bournemouth (0)

48.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Lowvig

100

50.0%

Aston Villa (0)

	100
Break Even	50.0%
Probability	48.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (0) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Betonline.ag

100

50.0%

Aston Villa (0)

Betonline.ag	100
Break Even	50.0%
Probability	48.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (0) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Bovada

-105

51.2%

Aston Villa (0)

Bovada	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	48.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (0) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

BetUS

-105

51.2%

Aston Villa (0)

BetUS	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	48.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (0) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

51.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Bovada

-115

53.5%

Bournemouth (0)

Bovada	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	51.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth (0) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

BetUS

-115

53.5%

Bournemouth (0)

BetUS	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	51.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth (0) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Lowvig

-116

53.7%

Bournemouth (0)

	-116
Break Even	53.7%
Probability	51.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth (0) spread must be more likely than 53.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Betonline.ag

-116

53.7%

Bournemouth (0)

Betonline.ag	-116
Break Even	53.7%
Probability	51.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth (0) spread must be more likely than 53.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

61.9% chance that Aston Villa win or are within 0.5 points of winning.
38.1% chance that Bournemouth win by 0.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Aston Villa (0.5)

Bournemouth (-0.5)

61.9%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

MyBookie

-186

65.0%

Aston Villa (0.5)

MyBookie	-186
Break Even	65.0%
Probability	61.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (0.5) spread must be more likely than 65.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 61.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

38.1%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

MyBookie

150

40.0%

Bournemouth (-0.5)

MyBookie	150
Break Even	40.0%
Probability	38.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 40.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 38.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Totals:

56.3% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
43.7% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)

Under (2.5)

56.3%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

BetUS

-140

58.3%

Over (2.5)

BetUS	-140
Break Even	58.3%
Probability	56.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

BetMGM

-145

59.2%

Over (2.5)

BetMGM	-145
Break Even	59.2%
Probability	56.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 59.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

BetRivers

-157

61.1%

Over (2.5)

BetRivers	-157
Break Even	61.1%
Probability	56.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 61.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

43.7%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

BetRivers

125

44.4%

Under (2.5)

BetRivers	125
Break Even	44.4%
Probability	43.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

BetUS

120

45.5%

Under (2.5)

BetUS	120
Break Even	45.5%
Probability	43.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

BetMGM

105

48.8%

Under (2.5)

BetMGM	105
Break Even	48.8%
Probability	43.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

44.5% chance that the total final score will be over 3 points.
55.5% chance that the total final score will be under 3 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3)

Under (3)

44.5%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

MyBookie

114

46.7%

Over (3)

MyBookie	114
Break Even	46.7%
Probability	44.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 46.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

55.5%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

MyBookie

-140

58.3%

Under (3)

MyBookie	-140
Break Even	58.3%
Probability	55.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.