Chelsea vs Liverpool

EPL - May 4, 2025 10:30 AM

Chelsea have a 45.1% of winning.
Liverpool have a 30.0% of winning.
A Draw has a 24.9% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

ChelseaLiverpool
45.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings11546.5%C

Chelsea
DraftKings115
Break Even46.5%
Probability45.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM11546.5%C

Chelsea
BetMGM115
Break Even46.5%
Probability45.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada11546.5%C

Chelsea
Bovada115
Break Even46.5%
Probability45.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie11346.9%C

Chelsea
MyBookie113
Break Even46.9%
Probability45.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 46.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers11047.6%F

Chelsea
BetRivers110
Break Even47.6%
Probability45.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig11047.6%F

Chelsea
110
Break Even47.6%
Probability45.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag11047.6%F

Chelsea
Betonline.ag110
Break Even47.6%
Probability45.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
30.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig23030.3%B

Liverpool
230
Break Even30.3%
Probability30.0%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 30.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.0%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Betonline.ag23030.3%B

Liverpool
Betonline.ag230
Break Even30.3%
Probability30.0%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 30.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.0%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Fanduel22031.2%C

Liverpool
220
Break Even31.2%
Probability30.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 31.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings22031.2%C

Liverpool
DraftKings220
Break Even31.2%
Probability30.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 31.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS22031.2%C

Liverpool
BetUS220
Break Even31.2%
Probability30.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 31.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie21631.6%C

Liverpool
MyBookie216
Break Even31.6%
Probability30.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 31.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers21531.7%C

Liverpool
BetRivers215
Break Even31.7%
Probability30.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 31.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Draw
24.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig29025.6%C

Draw
290
Break Even25.6%
Probability24.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag29025.6%C

Draw
Betonline.ag290
Break Even25.6%
Probability24.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers28526.0%C

Draw
BetRivers285
Break Even26.0%
Probability24.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada28526.0%C

Draw
Bovada285
Break Even26.0%
Probability24.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS28526.0%C

Draw
BetUS285
Break Even26.0%
Probability24.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel28026.3%C

Draw
280
Break Even26.3%
Probability24.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie28026.3%C

Draw
MyBookie280
Break Even26.3%
Probability24.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

45.4% chance that Chelsea win by 0.5 or more points.
54.6% chance that Liverpool win or are within 0.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Chelsea (-0.5)Liverpool (0.5)
45.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie11147.4%C

Chelsea (-0.5)
MyBookie111
Break Even47.4%
Probability45.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 47.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS11047.6%F

Chelsea (-0.5)
BetUS110
Break Even47.6%
Probability45.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Chelsea (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
54.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS-13056.5%C

Liverpool (0.5)
BetUS-130
Break Even56.5%
Probability54.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool (0.5) spread must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie-13657.6%F

Liverpool (0.5)
MyBookie-136
Break Even57.6%
Probability54.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool (0.5) spread must be more likely than 57.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

52.1% chance that the total final score will be over 3 points.
47.9% chance that the total final score will be under 3 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3)Under (3)
52.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-11453.3%C

Over (3)
-114
Break Even53.3%
Probability52.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 53.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-11453.3%C

Over (3)
Betonline.ag-114
Break Even53.3%
Probability52.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 53.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada-12054.5%F

Over (3)
Bovada-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-12255.0%F

Over (3)
MyBookie-122
Break Even55.0%
Probability52.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 55.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-12555.6%F

Over (3)
BetUS-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability52.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
47.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS10548.8%C

Under (3)
BetUS105
Break Even48.8%
Probability47.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada10050.0%F

Under (3)
Bovada100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie10050.0%F

Under (3)
MyBookie100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-10250.5%F

Under (3)
-102
Break Even50.5%
Probability47.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-10250.5%F

Under (3)
Betonline.ag-102
Break Even50.5%
Probability47.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

43.1% chance that the total final score will be over 3.5 points.
56.9% chance that the total final score will be under 3.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3.5)Under (3.5)
43.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers12045.5%F

Over (3.5)
BetRivers120
Break Even45.5%
Probability43.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
56.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers-15060.0%F

Under (3.5)
BetRivers-150
Break Even60.0%
Probability56.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 60.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.