Manchester City vs Aston Villa

EPL - April 22, 2025 2:00 PM

Aston Villa have a 25.2% of winning.
Manchester City have a 50.0% of winning.
A Draw has a 24.7% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Manchester City

25.2%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Aston Villa

	285
Break Even	26.0%
Probability	25.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 26.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Aston Villa

Betonline.ag	285
Break Even	26.0%
Probability	25.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 26.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Aston Villa

	280
Break Even	26.3%
Probability	25.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 26.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Aston Villa

BetUS	280
Break Even	26.3%
Probability	25.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 26.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Aston Villa

DraftKings	275
Break Even	26.7%
Probability	25.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 26.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Aston Villa

BetRivers	275
Break Even	26.7%
Probability	25.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 26.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Aston Villa

BetMGM	275
Break Even	26.7%
Probability	25.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 26.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

50.0%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Manchester City

	-108
Break Even	51.9%
Probability	50.0%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Manchester City

Betonline.ag	-108
Break Even	51.9%
Probability	50.0%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Manchester City

DraftKings	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	50.0%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Manchester City

BetMGM	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	50.0%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Manchester City

Bovada	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	50.0%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Manchester City

MyBookie	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	50.0%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Manchester City

BetUS	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	50.0%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Draw

24.7%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Draw

DraftKings	290
Break Even	25.6%
Probability	24.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

BetRivers	290
Break Even	25.6%
Probability	24.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

	290
Break Even	25.6%
Probability	24.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

MyBookie	290
Break Even	25.6%
Probability	24.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

Betonline.ag	290
Break Even	25.6%
Probability	24.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

Bovada	285
Break Even	26.0%
Probability	24.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

	280
Break Even	26.3%
Probability	24.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

50.0% chance that Aston Villa win or are within 0.5 points of winning.
50.0% chance that Manchester City win by 0.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Aston Villa (0.5)

Manchester City (-0.5)

50.0%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Aston Villa (0.5)

	-108
Break Even	51.9%
Probability	50.0%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (0.5) spread must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Aston Villa (0.5)

Betonline.ag	-108
Break Even	51.9%
Probability	50.0%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (0.5) spread must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Aston Villa (0.5)

MyBookie	-109
Break Even	52.2%
Probability	50.0%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (0.5) spread must be more likely than 52.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Aston Villa (0.5)

BetUS	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	50.0%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (0.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Aston Villa (0.5)

Bovada	-112
Break Even	52.8%
Probability	50.0%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (0.5) spread must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.0%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Manchester City (-0.5)

Bovada	-108
Break Even	51.9%
Probability	50.0%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Manchester City (-0.5)

	-108
Break Even	51.9%
Probability	50.0%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Manchester City (-0.5)

Betonline.ag	-108
Break Even	51.9%
Probability	50.0%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Manchester City (-0.5)

BetUS	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	50.0%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Manchester City (-0.5)

MyBookie	-112
Break Even	52.8%
Probability	50.0%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

59.9% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
40.1% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)

Under (2.5)

59.9%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Over (2.5)

BetMGM	-185
Break Even	64.9%
Probability	59.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 64.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

40.1%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Under (2.5)

BetMGM	130
Break Even	43.5%
Probability	40.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

49.7% chance that the total final score will be over 3 points.
50.3% chance that the total final score will be under 3 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3)

Under (3)

49.7%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Over (3)

	-104
Break Even	51.0%
Probability	49.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 51.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Over (3)

Betonline.ag	-104
Break Even	51.0%
Probability	49.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 51.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Over (3)

BetUS	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	49.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Over (3)

Bovada	-108
Break Even	51.9%
Probability	49.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (3)

MyBookie	-120
Break Even	54.5%
Probability	49.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.3%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Under (3)

MyBookie	-102
Break Even	50.5%
Probability	50.3%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.3%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

Under (3)

Bovada	-112
Break Even	52.8%
Probability	50.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (3)

	-112
Break Even	52.8%
Probability	50.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (3)

Betonline.ag	-112
Break Even	52.8%
Probability	50.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (3)

BetUS	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	50.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

39.8% chance that the total final score will be over 3.5 points.
60.2% chance that the total final score will be under 3.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3.5)

Under (3.5)

39.8%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Over (3.5)

BetRivers	138
Break Even	42.0%
Probability	39.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 42.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

60.2%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Under (3.5)

BetRivers	-175
Break Even	63.6%
Probability	60.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 63.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 60.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.