Newcastle United vs Aston Villa

290

25.6%

Aston Villa

BetRivers	290
Break Even	25.6%
Probability	25.2%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 25.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.2%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

BetMGM

290

25.6%

Aston Villa

BetMGM	290
Break Even	25.6%
Probability	25.2%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 25.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.2%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

Fanduel

280

26.3%

Aston Villa

	280
Break Even	26.3%
Probability	25.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 26.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

DraftKings

275

26.7%

Aston Villa

DraftKings	275
Break Even	26.7%
Probability	25.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 26.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

275

26.7%

Aston Villa

Bovada	275
Break Even	26.7%
Probability	25.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 26.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

275

26.7%

Aston Villa

BetUS	275
Break Even	26.7%
Probability	25.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 26.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

270

27.0%

Aston Villa

	270
Break Even	27.0%
Probability	25.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 27.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

50.5%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Newcastle United

	-106
Break Even	51.5%
Probability	50.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 51.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Newcastle United

Betonline.ag	-106
Break Even	51.5%
Probability	50.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 51.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Fanduel

-110

52.4%

Newcastle United

	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	50.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

DraftKings

Newcastle United

DraftKings	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	50.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Newcastle United

Bovada	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	50.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Newcastle United

BetUS	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	50.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

-118

54.1%

Newcastle United

BetRivers	-118
Break Even	54.1%
Probability	50.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Draw

24.3%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Draw

Bovada	300
Break Even	25.0%
Probability	24.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

	300
Break Even	25.0%
Probability	24.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

BetUS	300
Break Even	25.0%
Probability	24.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

Betonline.ag	300
Break Even	25.0%
Probability	24.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

DraftKings

290

25.6%

Draw

DraftKings	290
Break Even	25.6%
Probability	24.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

285

26.0%

Draw

BetRivers	285
Break Even	26.0%
Probability	24.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Fanduel

280

26.3%

Draw

	280
Break Even	26.3%
Probability	24.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

49.5% chance that Aston Villa win or are within 0.5 points of winning.
50.5% chance that Newcastle United win by 0.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Aston Villa (0.5)

Newcastle United (-0.5)

49.5%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

-105

51.2%

Aston Villa (0.5)

Bovada	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	49.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (0.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

-105

51.2%

Aston Villa (0.5)

BetUS	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	49.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (0.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

-110

52.4%

Aston Villa (0.5)

	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	49.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (0.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

-110

52.4%

Aston Villa (0.5)

Betonline.ag	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	49.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (0.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

-112

52.8%

Aston Villa (0.5)

MyBookie	-112
Break Even	52.8%
Probability	49.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (0.5) spread must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.5%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Newcastle United (-0.5)

	-106
Break Even	51.5%
Probability	50.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 51.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Newcastle United (-0.5)

Betonline.ag	-106
Break Even	51.5%
Probability	50.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 51.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Newcastle United (-0.5)

Bovada	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	50.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Newcastle United (-0.5)

BetUS	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	50.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

-123

55.2%

Newcastle United (-0.5)

MyBookie	-123
Break Even	55.2%
Probability	50.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 55.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

58.6% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
41.4% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)

Under (2.5)

58.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

-162

61.8%

Over (2.5)

BetRivers	-162
Break Even	61.8%
Probability	58.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 61.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

-172

63.2%

Over (2.5)

MyBookie	-172
Break Even	63.2%
Probability	58.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 63.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

41.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

130

43.5%

Under (2.5)

BetRivers	130
Break Even	43.5%
Probability	41.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

123

44.8%

Under (2.5)

MyBookie	123
Break Even	44.8%
Probability	41.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 44.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

47.7% chance that the total final score will be over 3 points.
52.3% chance that the total final score will be under 3 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3)

Under (3)

47.7%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

105

48.8%

Over (3)

	105
Break Even	48.8%
Probability	47.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

105

48.8%

Over (3)

Betonline.ag	105
Break Even	48.8%
Probability	47.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

-102

50.5%

Over (3)

Bovada	-102
Break Even	50.5%
Probability	47.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

-102

50.5%

Over (3)

BetUS	-102
Break Even	50.5%
Probability	47.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

52.3%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

-118

54.1%

Under (3)

Bovada	-118
Break Even	54.1%
Probability	52.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

-118

54.1%

Under (3)

BetUS	-118
Break Even	54.1%
Probability	52.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

-121

54.8%

Under (3)

	-121
Break Even	54.8%
Probability	52.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 54.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.