English Premier League

Matt's Bets aggregates sportsbook EPL betting lines to calculate up-to-date probabilities of the outcome of sporting events and track those probabilities over time.

These probabilities are used to identify and grade the quality of sportsbook betting lines. An "A" grade means that, given the probability for that outcome, the betting line may theoretically be a "good" bet that is profitable in the long run.

Currently tracking 19 upcoming events. Click on an event to learn more.

EPL - Mar 21, 2026 7:30 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Brighton and Hove Albion	31.1%	215 BetRivers	C
Liverpool	42.3%	130 DraftKings	C
Draw	26.6%	270 Lowvig	B

EPL - Mar 21, 2026 10:00 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Burnley	15.9%	525 BetRivers	B
Fulham	60.8%	-170 DraftKings	F
Draw	23.3%	320 BetRivers	C

EPL - Mar 21, 2026 12:30 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Chelsea	44.8%	115 Fanduel	C
Everton	27.7%	256 Betonline.ag	B
Draw	27.5%	255 Betonline.ag	C

EPL - Mar 21, 2026 3:00 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Brentford	33.8%	187 Betonline.ag	C
Leeds United	38.5%	151 Betonline.ag	C
Draw	27.7%	250 DraftKings	C

EPL - Mar 22, 2026 7:00 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Newcastle United	56.9%	-145 Fanduel	F
Sunderland	18.7%	434 Lowvig	B
Draw	24.4%	306 Lowvig	B

EPL - Mar 22, 2026 9:15 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Nottingham Forest	29.8%	227 Lowvig	C
Tottenham Hotspur	42.2%	130 Fanduel	C
Draw	28.0%	250 BetMGM	C

EPL - Mar 22, 2026 9:15 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Aston Villa	49.0%	-102 Betonline.ag	C
West Ham United	24.5%	300 Fanatics	B
Draw	26.5%	270 Fanduel	B

EPL - Apr 10, 2026 2:00 PM

	Probability	Best Line
West Ham United	53.6%	-125 Fanduel	C
Wolverhampton Wanderers	21.7%	375 Lowvig	A
Draw	24.7%	295 BetRivers	C

EPL - Apr 11, 2026 6:30 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Arsenal	71.1%	-285 MyBookie	F
Bournemouth	11.0%	865 Betonline.ag	A
Draw	17.8%	465 Betonline.ag	A-

EPL - Apr 11, 2026 9:00 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Brentford	44.1%	120 Lowvig	C
Everton	27.4%	260 Lowvig	B
Draw	28.5%	250 Fanduel	B

EPL - Apr 11, 2026 9:00 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Crystal Palace	34.2%	188 Lowvig	B
Newcastle United	38.6%	150 Lowvig	C
Draw	27.2%	270 Fanduel	A-

EPL - Apr 11, 2026 9:00 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Brighton and Hove Albion	52.3%	-118 Betonline.ag	C
Burnley	22.9%	320 Fanduel	C
Draw	24.8%	290 Fanduel	C

EPL - Apr 11, 2026 9:00 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Aston Villa	34.6%	183 Lowvig	C
Nottingham Forest	37.0%	162 Lowvig	C
Draw	28.4%	250 Fanduel	B

EPL - Apr 11, 2026 11:30 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Fulham	16.6%	495 Lowvig	B
Liverpool	63.0%	-190 Lowvig	F
Draw	20.4%	375 Fanatics	C

EPL - Apr 12, 2026 8:00 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Aston Villa	34.3%	176 Bovada	C
Nottingham Forest	37.4%	157 Bovada	C
Draw	28.3%	240 BetRivers	C

EPL - Apr 12, 2026 8:00 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Sunderland	35.3%	175 Fanduel	C
Tottenham Hotspur	37.1%	165 Lowvig	C
Draw	27.7%	250 Fanduel	C

EPL - Apr 12, 2026 8:00 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Crystal Palace	34.4%	176 Bovada	C
Newcastle United	38.1%	151 Bovada	C
Draw	27.5%	250 BetRivers	C

EPL - Apr 12, 2026 10:30 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Chelsea	35.1%	175 Fanatics	C
Manchester City	40.1%	142 Betonline.ag	C
Draw	24.9%	290 Fanduel	C

EPL - Apr 13, 2026 2:00 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Leeds United	17.6%	475 Betonline.ag	A-
Manchester United	60.0%	-170 Fanduel	F
Draw	22.4%	345 Betonline.ag	B

Past Events

EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM

	Score	Probability
Manchester City	✓ 3	89.5%
West Ham United	1	3.6%
Draw		6.9%

EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM

	Score	Probability
Burnley	1	32.7%
Nottingham Forest	✓ 2	41.8%
Draw		25.5%

EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM

	Score	Probability
Brighton and Hove Albion	0	37.8%
Manchester United	✓ 2	38.4%
Draw		23.8%

EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM

	Score	Probability
Sheffield United	0	13.0%
Tottenham Hotspur	✓ 3	70.9%
Draw		16.1%

EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM

	Score	Probability
Luton	2	31.8%
Fulham	✓ 4	43.8%
Draw		24.5%

EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM

	Score	Probability
Crystal Palace	✓ 5	57.4%
Aston Villa	0	21.1%
Draw		21.6%

EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM

	Score	Probability
Arsenal	✓ 2	80.0%
Everton	1	7.3%
Draw		12.6%

EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM

	Score	Probability
Chelsea	✓ 2	67.8%
Bournemouth	1	15.1%
Draw		17.1%

EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM

	Score	Probability
Brentford	2	32.1%
Newcastle United	✓ 4	44.1%
Draw		23.8%

EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM

	Score	Probability
Liverpool	✓ 2	84.4%
Wolverhampton Wanderers	0	6.0%
Draw		9.6%