English Premier League

Matt's Bets aggregates sportsbook EPL betting lines to calculate up-to-date probabilities of the outcome of sporting events and track those probabilities over time.

These probabilities are used to identify and grade the quality of sportsbook betting lines. An "A" grade means that, given the probability for that outcome, the betting line may theoretically be a "good" bet that is profitable in the long run.

Currently tracking 27 upcoming events. Click on an event to learn more.
EPL - Dec 13, 2025 2:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Arsenal84.4%-740
Lowvig		F
Wolverhampton Wanderers4.5%2200
Fanduel		A-
Draw11.1%825
BetMGM		A-
EPL - Dec 14, 2025 8:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Aston Villa47.1%105
DraftKings		C
West Ham United25.8%276
Lowvig		C
Draw27.0%256
Lowvig		C
EPL - Dec 14, 2025 8:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Crystal Palace24.1%310
BetRivers		B
Manchester City51.2%-115
Fanduel		F
Draw24.7%298
Lowvig		B
EPL - Dec 14, 2025 8:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Newcastle United42.3%130
DraftKings		C
Sunderland28.6%240
Fanduel		C
Draw29.1%230
Fanatics		C
EPL - Dec 14, 2025 8:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Nottingham Forest37.5%156
Lowvig		C
Tottenham Hotspur33.9%187
Lowvig		C
Draw28.6%238
Lowvig		C
EPL - Dec 14, 2025 10:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brentford47.9%100
DraftKings		F
Leeds United25.2%285
Lowvig		C
Draw26.8%266
Lowvig		C
EPL - Dec 15, 2025 2:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Bournemouth24.3%300
Fanatics		C
Manchester United52.2%-118
Lowvig		C
Draw23.5%319
Lowvig		B
EPL - Dec 20, 2025 6:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chelsea34.5%180
Fanduel		C
Newcastle United39.0%145
Bovada		C
Draw26.5%269
Lowvig		C
EPL - Dec 20, 2025 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brentford46.9%105
Fanduel		C
Wolverhampton Wanderers26.0%275
BetRivers		C
Draw27.1%260
Lowvig		C
EPL - Dec 20, 2025 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Manchester City78.6%-480
BetRivers		F
West Ham United8.1%1100
Fanduel		B
Draw13.3%660
Lowvig		A-
EPL - Dec 20, 2025 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brighton and Hove Albion59.2%-160
Fanatics		F
Sunderland17.6%450
Fanduel		C
Draw23.2%318
Lowvig		C
EPL - Dec 20, 2025 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Bournemouth63.9%-200
DraftKings		F
Burnley14.9%550
Fanduel		C
Draw21.3%350
Fanatics		C
EPL - Dec 20, 2025 11:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Liverpool46.7%105
Fanduel		F
Tottenham Hotspur28.0%250
BetRivers		C
Draw25.3%284
Betonline.ag		C
EPL - Dec 20, 2025 2:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Arsenal55.4%-134
Lowvig		C
Everton18.9%430
Fanduel		A-
Draw25.7%280
DraftKings		C
EPL - Dec 20, 2025 2:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Crystal Palace37.5%159
Bovada		C
Leeds United33.5%185
Fanduel		C
Draw28.9%230
Fanduel		C
EPL - Dec 21, 2025 10:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Aston Villa44.8%117
Lowvig		C
Manchester United28.9%235
Bovada		C
Draw26.3%275
BetRivers		B
EPL - Dec 22, 2025 2:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Fulham42.8%125
Fanatics		C
Nottingham Forest28.9%240
Fanduel		C
Draw28.3%245
Bovada		C
EPL - Dec 26, 2025 2:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Manchester United42.6%125
Fanduel		C
Newcastle United31.3%200
Fanduel		F
Draw26.2%260
Fanduel		C
EPL - Dec 27, 2025 6:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Manchester City61.0%-180
Fanatics		F
Nottingham Forest16.7%480
Fanduel		C
Draw22.3%330
Fanduel		C
EPL - Dec 27, 2025 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Bournemouth29.2%230
Fanduel		C
Brentford43.9%115
Fanduel		F
Draw26.9%250
Fanduel		C
EPL - Dec 27, 2025 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Liverpool77.0%-425
Fanatics		F
Wolverhampton Wanderers7.9%1200
Fanduel		A-
Draw15.1%550
Fanduel		B
EPL - Dec 27, 2025 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Fulham40.6%135
Fanduel		F
West Ham United31.6%200
Fanduel		C
Draw27.9%240
Fanduel		C
EPL - Dec 27, 2025 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Burnley22.0%330
Fanduel		C
Everton50.4%-115
Fanduel		F
Draw27.6%250
Fanduel		C
EPL - Dec 27, 2025 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Arsenal65.6%-224
MyBookie		F
Brighton and Hove Albion13.8%600
Fanduel		C
Draw20.6%375
Fanatics		B
EPL - Dec 27, 2025 11:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Aston Villa24.8%290
Fanduel		C
Chelsea48.9%-105
Fanduel		F
Draw26.3%260
Fanduel		C
EPL - Dec 28, 2025 8:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Leeds United32.6%195
Fanduel		C
Sunderland38.2%145
Fanduel		F
Draw29.2%220
Fanduel		F
EPL - Dec 28, 2025 10:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Crystal Palace45.2%110
Fanduel		F
Tottenham Hotspur27.2%250
Fanduel		C
Draw27.6%250
Fanduel		C

Past Events

EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM
ScoreProbability
Manchester City✓ 389.5%
West Ham United13.6%
Draw6.9%
EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM
ScoreProbability
Burnley132.7%
Nottingham Forest✓ 241.8%
Draw25.5%
EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM
ScoreProbability
Brighton and Hove Albion037.8%
Manchester United✓ 238.4%
Draw23.8%
EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM
ScoreProbability
Sheffield United013.0%
Tottenham Hotspur✓ 370.9%
Draw16.1%
EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM
ScoreProbability
Luton231.8%
Fulham✓ 443.8%
Draw24.5%
EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM
ScoreProbability
Crystal Palace✓ 557.4%
Aston Villa021.1%
Draw21.6%
EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM
ScoreProbability
Arsenal✓ 280.0%
Everton17.3%
Draw12.6%
EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM
ScoreProbability
Chelsea✓ 267.8%
Bournemouth115.1%
Draw17.1%
EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM
ScoreProbability
Brentford232.1%
Newcastle United✓ 444.1%
Draw23.8%
EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM
ScoreProbability
Liverpool✓ 284.4%
Wolverhampton Wanderers06.0%
Draw9.6%