English Premier League

Matt's Bets aggregates sportsbook EPL betting lines to calculate up-to-date probabilities of the outcome of sporting events and track those probabilities over time.

These probabilities are used to identify and grade the quality of sportsbook betting lines. An "A" grade means that, given the probability for that outcome, the betting line may theoretically be a "good" bet that is profitable in the long run.

Currently tracking 20 upcoming events. Click on an event to learn more.
EPL - Dec 6, 2025 6:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Arsenal49.6%-105
Fanatics		C
Aston Villa22.8%330
Fanduel		B
Draw27.6%250
Fanduel		C
EPL - Dec 6, 2025 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Bournemouth29.9%222
Lowvig		C
Chelsea44.1%118
Lowvig		C
Draw26.0%277
Lowvig		C
EPL - Dec 6, 2025 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Manchester City76.8%-375
BetMGM		F
Sunderland8.3%1200
Fanduel		A
Draw14.9%580
Lowvig		A-
EPL - Dec 6, 2025 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brentford31.3%220
BetRivers		A-
Tottenham Hotspur41.6%134
Betonline.ag		C
Draw27.1%255
Betonline.ag		C
EPL - Dec 6, 2025 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Burnley9.5%1050
BetRivers		A+
Newcastle United74.2%-340
Ceasers		F
Draw16.3%525
Betonline.ag		A
EPL - Dec 6, 2025 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Everton43.6%122
Lowvig		C
Nottingham Forest26.8%265
Lowvig		C
Draw29.6%225
DraftKings		C
EPL - Dec 6, 2025 11:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Leeds United23.2%320
BetMGM		C
Liverpool52.2%-117
Betonline.ag		C
Draw24.6%300
Fanatics		B
EPL - Dec 7, 2025 8:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brighton and Hove Albion60.8%-170
Fanatics		F
West Ham United17.3%475
BetRivers		B
Draw21.9%355
Lowvig		B
EPL - Dec 7, 2025 10:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Crystal Palace34.1%185
Lowvig		C
Fulham37.0%160
Fanduel		C
Draw28.9%236
Lowvig		C
EPL - Dec 8, 2025 2:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Manchester United53.4%-124
Lowvig		C
Wolverhampton Wanderers22.3%340
Ceasers		B
Draw24.2%308
Lowvig		B
EPL - Dec 13, 2025 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brighton and Hove Albion20.6%375
Fanatics		B
Liverpool56.1%-142
Bovada		F
Draw23.2%320
Fanduel		C
EPL - Dec 13, 2025 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chelsea59.4%-165
BetRivers		F
Everton17.5%470
Fanduel		B
Draw23.1%324
Lowvig		B
EPL - Dec 13, 2025 11:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Burnley25.1%280
Fanduel		C
Fulham47.8%100
Fanduel		F
Draw27.1%255
Bovada		C
EPL - Dec 13, 2025 2:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Arsenal77.5%-450
MyBookie		F
Wolverhampton Wanderers7.0%1300
Bovada		B
Draw15.5%530
Lowvig		B
EPL - Dec 14, 2025 8:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Crystal Palace24.3%310
BetRivers		B
Manchester City50.3%-110
Fanatics		F
Draw25.4%280
Fanatics		C
EPL - Dec 14, 2025 8:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Aston Villa47.1%106
BetRivers		C
West Ham United26.3%275
Bovada		B
Draw26.6%255
DraftKings		C
EPL - Dec 14, 2025 8:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Newcastle United46.1%110
Fanduel		C
Sunderland26.1%275
BetRivers		C
Draw27.8%250
BetRivers		C
EPL - Dec 14, 2025 8:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Nottingham Forest40.3%136
Lowvig		F
Tottenham Hotspur31.9%200
Fanatics		C
Draw27.7%243
Lowvig		C
EPL - Dec 14, 2025 10:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brentford47.6%100
Fanduel		F
Leeds United25.5%285
BetRivers		B
Draw26.9%260
BetRivers		C
EPL - Dec 15, 2025 2:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Bournemouth24.6%300
Fanduel		B
Manchester United51.5%-117
Bovada		F
Draw24.0%300
Fanatics		C

Past Events

EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM
ScoreProbability
Manchester City✓ 389.5%
West Ham United13.6%
Draw6.9%
EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM
ScoreProbability
Burnley132.7%
Nottingham Forest✓ 241.8%
Draw25.5%
EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM
ScoreProbability
Brighton and Hove Albion037.8%
Manchester United✓ 238.4%
Draw23.8%
EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM
ScoreProbability
Sheffield United013.0%
Tottenham Hotspur✓ 370.9%
Draw16.1%
EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM
ScoreProbability
Luton231.8%
Fulham✓ 443.8%
Draw24.5%
EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM
ScoreProbability
Crystal Palace✓ 557.4%
Aston Villa021.1%
Draw21.6%
EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM
ScoreProbability
Arsenal✓ 280.0%
Everton17.3%
Draw12.6%
EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM
ScoreProbability
Chelsea✓ 267.8%
Bournemouth115.1%
Draw17.1%
EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM
ScoreProbability
Brentford232.1%
Newcastle United✓ 444.1%
Draw23.8%
EPL - May 19, 2024 10:00 AM
ScoreProbability
Liverpool✓ 284.4%
Wolverhampton Wanderers06.0%
Draw9.6%