Burnley vs Bristol City

Championship - September 5, 2026 9:00 AM

Bristol City have a 24.0% of winning.
Burnley have a 50.1% of winning.
A Draw has a 25.9% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Bristol CityBurnley
24.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers30025.0%C

Bristol City
BetRivers300
Break Even25.0%
Probability24.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bristol City must be more likely than 25.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM30025.0%C

Bristol City
BetMGM300
Break Even25.0%
Probability24.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bristol City must be more likely than 25.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanatics30025.0%C

Bristol City
Fanatics300
Break Even25.0%
Probability24.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bristol City must be more likely than 25.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings29525.3%C

Bristol City
DraftKings295
Break Even25.3%
Probability24.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bristol City must be more likely than 25.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig29125.6%C

Bristol City
291
Break Even25.6%
Probability24.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bristol City must be more likely than 25.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag29125.6%C

Bristol City
Betonline.ag291
Break Even25.6%
Probability24.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bristol City must be more likely than 25.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel29025.6%C

Bristol City
290
Break Even25.6%
Probability24.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bristol City must be more likely than 25.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
50.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel-11052.4%F

Burnley
-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Burnley must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-11052.4%F

Burnley
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Burnley must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-11052.4%F

Burnley
BetMGM-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Burnley must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-11353.1%F

Burnley
-113
Break Even53.1%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Burnley must be more likely than 53.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-11353.1%F

Burnley
Betonline.ag-113
Break Even53.1%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Burnley must be more likely than 53.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-11453.3%F

Burnley
Bovada-114
Break Even53.3%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Burnley must be more likely than 53.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11453.3%F

Burnley
BetUS-114
Break Even53.3%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Burnley must be more likely than 53.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Draw
25.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig28026.3%B

Draw
280
Break Even26.3%
Probability25.9%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.9%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Betonline.ag28026.3%B

Draw
Betonline.ag280
Break Even26.3%
Probability25.9%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.9%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
DraftKings27526.7%C

Draw
DraftKings275
Break Even26.7%
Probability25.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM26027.8%C

Draw
BetMGM260
Break Even27.8%
Probability25.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada26027.8%C

Draw
Bovada260
Break Even27.8%
Probability25.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS26027.8%C

Draw
BetUS260
Break Even27.8%
Probability25.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanatics26027.8%C

Draw
Fanatics260
Break Even27.8%
Probability25.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

49.6% chance that Bristol City win or are within 0.5 points of winning.
50.4% chance that Burnley win by 0.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Bristol City (0.5)Burnley (-0.5)
49.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-10551.2%C

Bristol City (0.5)
Bovada-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bristol City (0.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-11152.6%F

Bristol City (0.5)
-111
Break Even52.6%
Probability49.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Bristol City (0.5) spread must be more likely than 52.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-11152.6%F

Bristol City (0.5)
Betonline.ag-111
Break Even52.6%
Probability49.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Bristol City (0.5) spread must be more likely than 52.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11553.5%F

Bristol City (0.5)
BetUS-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability49.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Bristol City (0.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-11353.1%F

Burnley (-0.5)
-113
Break Even53.1%
Probability50.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Burnley (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 53.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-11353.1%F

Burnley (-0.5)
Betonline.ag-113
Break Even53.1%
Probability50.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Burnley (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 53.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-11553.5%F

Burnley (-0.5)
Bovada-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Burnley (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11553.5%F

Burnley (-0.5)
BetUS-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Burnley (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

51.7% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
48.3% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
51.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-12054.5%F

Over (2.5)
Bovada-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability51.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-12054.5%F

Over (2.5)
BetUS-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability51.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-12255.0%F

Over (2.5)
-122
Break Even55.0%
Probability51.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 55.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-12255.0%F

Over (2.5)
Betonline.ag-122
Break Even55.0%
Probability51.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 55.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-12555.6%F

Over (2.5)
BetRivers-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability51.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-13056.5%F

Over (2.5)
BetMGM-130
Break Even56.5%
Probability51.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
48.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada10050.0%C

Under (2.5)
Bovada100
Break Even50.0%
Probability48.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-10651.5%F

Under (2.5)
-106
Break Even51.5%
Probability48.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 51.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-10651.5%F

Under (2.5)
Betonline.ag-106
Break Even51.5%
Probability48.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 51.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-10751.7%F

Under (2.5)
BetRivers-107
Break Even51.7%
Probability48.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 51.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-11052.4%F

Under (2.5)
BetMGM-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability48.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11052.4%F

Under (2.5)
BetUS-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability48.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.