Southampton vs Stoke City

Championship - August 22, 2026 9:00 AM

Southampton have a 58.1% of winning.
Stoke City have a 18.9% of winning.
A Draw has a 23.0% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

SouthamptonStoke City
58.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanatics-15060.0%C

Southampton
Fanatics-150
Break Even60.0%
Probability58.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Southampton must be more likely than 60.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-15560.8%F

Southampton
DraftKings-155
Break Even60.8%
Probability58.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Southampton must be more likely than 60.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-15560.8%F

Southampton
BetMGM-155
Break Even60.8%
Probability58.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Southampton must be more likely than 60.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-16061.5%F

Southampton
-160
Break Even61.5%
Probability58.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Southampton must be more likely than 61.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-16061.5%F

Southampton
Betonline.ag-160
Break Even61.5%
Probability58.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Southampton must be more likely than 61.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-16061.5%F

Southampton
BetUS-160
Break Even61.5%
Probability58.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Southampton must be more likely than 61.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-16261.8%F

Southampton
Bovada-162
Break Even61.8%
Probability58.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Southampton must be more likely than 61.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
18.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig41519.4%C

Stoke City
415
Break Even19.4%
Probability18.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Stoke City must be more likely than 19.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag41519.4%C

Stoke City
Betonline.ag415
Break Even19.4%
Probability18.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Stoke City must be more likely than 19.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS41519.4%C

Stoke City
BetUS415
Break Even19.4%
Probability18.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Stoke City must be more likely than 19.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel41019.6%C

Stoke City
410
Break Even19.6%
Probability18.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Stoke City must be more likely than 19.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings40020.0%C

Stoke City
DraftKings400
Break Even20.0%
Probability18.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Stoke City must be more likely than 20.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers39020.4%C

Stoke City
BetRivers390
Break Even20.4%
Probability18.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Stoke City must be more likely than 20.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada39020.4%C

Stoke City
Bovada390
Break Even20.4%
Probability18.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Stoke City must be more likely than 20.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Draw
23.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings32023.8%C

Draw
DraftKings320
Break Even23.8%
Probability23.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 23.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig31524.1%C

Draw
315
Break Even24.1%
Probability23.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 24.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag31524.1%C

Draw
Betonline.ag315
Break Even24.1%
Probability23.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 24.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS31524.1%C

Draw
BetUS315
Break Even24.1%
Probability23.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 24.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel31024.4%C

Draw
310
Break Even24.4%
Probability23.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 24.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM31024.4%C

Draw
BetMGM310
Break Even24.4%
Probability23.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 24.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanatics31024.4%C

Draw
Fanatics310
Break Even24.4%
Probability23.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 24.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

45.7% chance that Southampton win by 1 or more points.
54.3% chance that Stoke City win or are within 1 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Southampton (-1)Stoke City (1)
45.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig11047.6%C

Southampton (-1)
110
Break Even47.6%
Probability45.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Southampton (-1) spread must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag11047.6%C

Southampton (-1)
Betonline.ag110
Break Even47.6%
Probability45.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Southampton (-1) spread must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
54.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-13056.5%F

Stoke City (1)
-130
Break Even56.5%
Probability54.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Stoke City (1) spread must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-13056.5%F

Stoke City (1)
Betonline.ag-130
Break Even56.5%
Probability54.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Stoke City (1) spread must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

55.8% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
44.2% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
55.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-13256.9%C

Over (2.5)
Bovada-132
Break Even56.9%
Probability55.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 56.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM-15060.0%F

Over (2.5)
BetMGM-150
Break Even60.0%
Probability55.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 60.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-16261.8%F

Over (2.5)
BetRivers-162
Break Even61.8%
Probability55.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 61.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
44.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers12045.5%C

Under (2.5)
BetRivers120
Break Even45.5%
Probability44.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada11147.4%F

Under (2.5)
Bovada111
Break Even47.4%
Probability44.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 47.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM10548.8%F

Under (2.5)
BetMGM105
Break Even48.8%
Probability44.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

44.2% chance that the total final score will be over 3 points.
55.8% chance that the total final score will be under 3 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3)Under (3)
44.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig12045.5%C

Over (3)
120
Break Even45.5%
Probability44.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag12045.5%C

Over (3)
Betonline.ag120
Break Even45.5%
Probability44.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS11047.6%F

Over (3)
BetUS110
Break Even47.6%
Probability44.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
55.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-14058.3%F

Under (3)
-140
Break Even58.3%
Probability55.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-14058.3%F

Under (3)
Betonline.ag-140
Break Even58.3%
Probability55.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-14058.3%F

Under (3)
BetUS-140
Break Even58.3%
Probability55.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.