Derby County vs Cardiff City

Championship - August 22, 2026 9:00 AM

Cardiff City have a 25.3% of winning.
Derby County have a 47.6% of winning.
A Draw has a 27.1% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Cardiff CityDerby County
25.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel29025.6%B

Cardiff City
290
Break Even25.6%
Probability25.3%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Cardiff City must be more likely than 25.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.3%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Lowvig27226.9%C

Cardiff City
272
Break Even26.9%
Probability25.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Cardiff City must be more likely than 26.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag27226.9%C

Cardiff City
Betonline.ag272
Break Even26.9%
Probability25.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Cardiff City must be more likely than 26.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS27226.9%C

Cardiff City
BetUS272
Break Even26.9%
Probability25.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Cardiff City must be more likely than 26.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings27027.0%C

Cardiff City
DraftKings270
Break Even27.0%
Probability25.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Cardiff City must be more likely than 27.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM27027.0%C

Cardiff City
BetMGM270
Break Even27.0%
Probability25.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Cardiff City must be more likely than 27.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada27027.0%C

Cardiff City
Bovada270
Break Even27.0%
Probability25.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Cardiff City must be more likely than 27.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
47.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings10050.0%F

Derby County
DraftKings100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Derby County must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM10050.0%F

Derby County
BetMGM100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Derby County must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanatics10050.0%F

Derby County
Fanatics100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Derby County must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-10150.2%F

Derby County
-101
Break Even50.2%
Probability47.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Derby County must be more likely than 50.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-10150.2%F

Derby County
Betonline.ag-101
Break Even50.2%
Probability47.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Derby County must be more likely than 50.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-10150.2%F

Derby County
BetUS-101
Break Even50.2%
Probability47.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Derby County must be more likely than 50.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-10551.2%F

Derby County
-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability47.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Derby County must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Draw
27.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings26027.8%C

Draw
DraftKings260
Break Even27.8%
Probability27.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig25927.9%C

Draw
259
Break Even27.9%
Probability27.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag25927.9%C

Draw
Betonline.ag259
Break Even27.9%
Probability27.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS25927.9%C

Draw
BetUS259
Break Even27.9%
Probability27.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada24529.0%C

Draw
Bovada245
Break Even29.0%
Probability27.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 29.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel24029.4%F

Draw
240
Break Even29.4%
Probability27.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 29.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM24029.4%F

Draw
BetMGM240
Break Even29.4%
Probability27.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 29.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

51.4% chance that Cardiff City win or are within 0.5 points of winning.
48.6% chance that Derby County win by 0.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Cardiff City (0.5)Derby County (-0.5)
51.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS-11453.3%C

Cardiff City (0.5)
BetUS-114
Break Even53.3%
Probability51.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Cardiff City (0.5) spread must be more likely than 53.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada-11854.1%F

Cardiff City (0.5)
Bovada-118
Break Even54.1%
Probability51.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Cardiff City (0.5) spread must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-11954.3%F

Cardiff City (0.5)
-119
Break Even54.3%
Probability51.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Cardiff City (0.5) spread must be more likely than 54.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-11954.3%F

Cardiff City (0.5)
Betonline.ag-119
Break Even54.3%
Probability51.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Cardiff City (0.5) spread must be more likely than 54.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
48.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-10150.2%C

Derby County (-0.5)
-101
Break Even50.2%
Probability48.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Derby County (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 50.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-10150.2%C

Derby County (-0.5)
Betonline.ag-101
Break Even50.2%
Probability48.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Derby County (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 50.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada-10250.5%C

Derby County (-0.5)
Bovada-102
Break Even50.5%
Probability48.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Derby County (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS-11553.5%F

Derby County (-0.5)
BetUS-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability48.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Derby County (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

47.7% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
52.3% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
47.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers10050.0%F

Over (2.5)
BetRivers100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig10050.0%F

Over (2.5)
100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag10050.0%F

Over (2.5)
Betonline.ag100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-10250.5%F

Over (2.5)
Bovada-102
Break Even50.5%
Probability47.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-10551.2%F

Over (2.5)
BetUS-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability47.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-11052.4%F

Over (2.5)
BetMGM-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability47.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
52.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-11854.1%C

Under (2.5)
Bovada-118
Break Even54.1%
Probability52.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-12054.5%F

Under (2.5)
-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-12054.5%F

Under (2.5)
Betonline.ag-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-12555.6%F

Under (2.5)
BetUS-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability52.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-13256.9%F

Under (2.5)
BetRivers-132
Break Even56.9%
Probability52.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 56.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-13557.4%F

Under (2.5)
BetMGM-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability52.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.