Matt's Bets aggregates sportsbook betting lines to calculate up-to-date probabilities of the outcome of sporting events and track those probabilities over time. These probabilities, derived from the "wisdom of the crowd," likely provide a more accurate estimate than a single model or the lines from an individual sportsbook.

These probabilities are used to identify and grade the quality of sportsbook betting lines. An "A" grade means that, given the probability for that outcome, the betting line may theoretically be a "good" bet that is profitable in the long run.

Click on an event to learn more.

Big Probability Changes:

MMA - Apr 5, 2025 10:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Talita Alencar50.4%-110
BetMGM		F
Vanessa Demopoulos49.6%-105
Betonline.ag		C
EPL - Apr 5, 2025 4:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Aston Villa47.0%106
Betonline.ag		C
Nottingham Forest26.9%260
Fanduel		C
Draw26.1%270
Bovada		C
MMA - Apr 6, 2025 12:15 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Daniel Santos57.5%-145
Betonline.ag		C
Davey Grant42.5%128
Fanduel		C
MMA - Apr 6, 2025 2:15 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Kennedy Nzechukwu75.4%-350
BetMGM		F
Martin Buday24.6%310
Betonline.ag		A-
MMA - Apr 6, 2025 2:45 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chang Ho Lee54.6%-125
DraftKings		C
Cortavious Romious45.4%115
BetMGM		C
NBA - Apr 3, 2025 11:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Portland Trail Blazers57.8%-144
Fanduel		C
Toronto Raptors42.2%135
Ceasers		B
MLS - Apr 5, 2025 11:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Austin FC53.0%-125
Bovada		F
Portland Timbers21.7%340
Fanduel		C
Draw25.3%285
Bovada		C
MMA - Apr 6, 2025 3:45 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Josh Emmett26.8%265
Ceasers		C
Lerone Murphy73.2%-308
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Apr 5, 2025 10:35 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Pedro Falcao34.8%180
BetMGM		C
Victor Henry65.2%-205
BetUS		C
MMA - Apr 6, 2025 1:15 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Robert Valentin29.7%245
DraftKings		A
Torrez Finney70.3%-265
Fanduel		F

Upcoming Events Today:

MLB - Apr 3, 2025 5:05 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Baltimore Orioles50.9%-106
BetRivers		C
Boston Red Sox49.1%103
Lowvig		B
MLB - Apr 3, 2025 5:05 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Colorado Rockies33.1%203
Betonline.ag		A-
Philadelphia Phillies66.9%-220
Fanduel		C
EPL - Apr 3, 2025 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chelsea57.3%-145
DraftKings		C
Tottenham Hotspur21.2%362
Lowvig		B
Draw21.5%350
Bovada		C
MLB - Apr 3, 2025 8:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Houston Astros47.0%108
Lowvig		C
Minnesota Twins53.0%-118
Lowvig		C
MMA - Apr 3, 2025 10:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Mukhamed Berkhamov32.5%200
BetMGM		C
Thad Jean67.5%-240
Fanduel		F
MMA - Apr 3, 2025 10:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Nathan Kelly46.7%105
BetMGM		F
Tae Kyun Kim53.3%-125
BetMGM		F
MMA - Apr 3, 2025 10:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Giannis Bachar39.1%145
BetMGM		C
Masayuki Kikuiri60.9%-180
BetMGM		F
MMA - Apr 3, 2025 10:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Joseph Luciano67.3%-250
Fanduel		F
Sarek Shields32.7%188
Fanduel		F
NHL - Apr 3, 2025 11:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ottawa Senators45.5%118
Betonline.ag		B
Tampa Bay Lightning54.5%-126
Fanduel		C
NHL - Apr 3, 2025 11:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Boston Bruins36.2%175
Bovada		B
Montréal Canadiens63.8%-190
BetMGM		C
MLB - Apr 3, 2025 11:05 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Arizona Diamondbacks45.3%119
Lowvig		B
New York Yankees54.7%-124
Fanduel		C
NBA - Apr 3, 2025 11:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Milwaukee Bucks83.7%-660
Betonline.ag		F
Philadelphia 76ers16.3%510
Betonline.ag		B
NBA - Apr 3, 2025 11:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Orlando Magic86.9%-900
Fanatics		F
Washington Wizards13.1%670
Betonline.ag		A-
NHL - Apr 3, 2025 11:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Colorado Avalanche58.6%-147
Lowvig		C
Columbus Blue Jackets41.4%138
BetRivers		C
NBA - Apr 3, 2025 11:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Memphis Grizzlies62.4%-177
Betonline.ag		C
Miami Heat37.6%162
Fanduel		C
MLB - Apr 3, 2025 11:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Cincinnati Reds48.4%102
Betonline.ag		C
Milwaukee Brewers51.6%-112
Betonline.ag		C
NBA - Apr 3, 2025 11:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brooklyn Nets15.1%550
Betonline.ag		B
Minnesota Timberwolves84.9%-750
Betonline.ag		F
NBA - Apr 3, 2025 11:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Portland Trail Blazers57.8%-144
Fanduel		C
Toronto Raptors42.2%135
Ceasers		B
NHL - Apr 4, 2025 12:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Dallas Stars71.7%-280
BetUS		C
Nashville Predators28.3%250
DraftKings		B
NHL - Apr 4, 2025 12:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Pittsburgh Penguins33.9%191
Lowvig		C
St Louis Blues66.1%-215
Lowvig		F
NHL - Apr 4, 2025 1:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Los Angeles Kings54.4%-126
Fanduel		C
Utah Hockey Club45.6%115
Lowvig		C
NHL - Apr 4, 2025 1:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Anaheim Ducks40.4%146
Fanduel		B
Calgary Flames59.6%-154
Lowvig		C
MMA - Apr 4, 2025 2:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Jeremy Kennedy16.4%500
BetMGM		B
Movlid Khaybulaev83.6%-700
BetMGM		F
NHL - Apr 4, 2025 2:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Vegas Golden Knights53.3%-119
Lowvig		C
Winnipeg Jets46.7%110
Fanatics		C
NBA - Apr 4, 2025 2:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Golden State Warriors45.3%120
Bovada		B
Los Angeles Lakers54.7%-130
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Apr 4, 2025 2:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Adam Borics38.6%146
Fanduel		F
Jesus Pinedo61.4%-180
BetMGM		F
MMA - Apr 4, 2025 2:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Logan Storley28.0%235
Fanduel		C
Magomed Umalatov72.0%-330
Fanduel		F
NHL - Apr 4, 2025 2:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Edmonton Oilers70.3%-260
BetUS		C
San Jose Sharks29.7%230
Lowvig		C
MMA - Apr 4, 2025 3:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Andrey Koreshkov33.3%190
BetMGM		C
Jason Jackson66.7%-235
Fanduel		F