Matt's Bets - Aggregate Sports Probabilities

Matt's Bets aggregates sportsbook betting lines to calculate up-to-date probabilities of the outcome of sporting events and track those probabilities over time. These probabilities, derived from the "wisdom of the crowd," likely provide a more accurate estimate than a single model or the lines from an individual sportsbook.

These probabilities are used to identify and grade the quality of sportsbook betting lines. An "A" grade means that, given the probability for that outcome, the betting line may theoretically be a "good" bet that is profitable in the long run.

Click on an event to learn more.

Big Probability Changes:

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 9:15 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Mauricio Ruffy	52.5%	-115 Ceasers	C
Rafael Fiziev	47.5%	108 Fanduel	C

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 6:45 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Jacob Malkoun	56.7%	-139 BetRivers	C
Torrez Finney	43.3%	130 DraftKings	B

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 4:10 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Lawrence Lui	29.6%	240 Betonline.ag	A-
Sulangrangbo	70.4%	-255 Fanduel	C

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 10:00 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Katharina Lehner	22.0%	350 Betonline.ag	B
Lucie Pudilova	78.0%	-450 Betonline.ag	F

EPL - Feb 1, 2026 8:00 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Crystal Palace	24.4%	300 Fanatics	C
Nottingham Forest	48.3%	100 DraftKings	C
Draw	27.3%	255 Lowvig	C

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 10:00 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Emilio Quissua	72.3%	-310 Bovada	F
Jorick Montagnac	27.7%	265 Betonline.ag	A

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 5:15 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Keiichiro Nakamura	44.9%	115 Bovada	C
Sebastian Szalay	55.1%	-130 Betonline.ag	C

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 10:00 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Josh Parisian	23.1%	340 Bovada	A
Lazar Todev	76.9%	-360 Betonline.ag	C

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 7:45 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Billy Elekana	69.4%	-250 BetRivers	F
Junior Tafa	30.6%	230 Betonline.ag	A

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 7:15 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Cam Rowston	75.4%	-350 Fanduel	F
Cody Brundage	24.6%	300 BetMGM	B

Upcoming Events Today:

EPL - Jan 31, 2026 9:00 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Arsenal	62.5%	-175 BetMGM	C
Leeds United	14.8%	575 BetRivers	A-
Draw	22.6%	330 Fanduel	C

EPL - Jan 31, 2026 9:00 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Brighton and Hove Albion	50.2%	-105 Fanatics	C
Everton	22.8%	335 BetUS	B
Draw	27.1%	268 BetUS	B

EPL - Jan 31, 2026 9:00 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Bournemouth	41.2%	135 Betonline.ag	C
Wolverhampton Wanderers	31.1%	212 Bovada	C
Draw	27.6%	250 BetMGM	C

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 10:00 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Katharina Lehner	22.0%	350 Betonline.ag	B
Lucie Pudilova	78.0%	-450 Betonline.ag	F

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 10:00 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Josh Parisian	23.1%	340 Bovada	A
Lazar Todev	76.9%	-360 Betonline.ag	C

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 10:00 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Ahmad Halimson	59.4%	-155 Betonline.ag	C
Jan Malach	40.6%	135 Betonline.ag	C

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 10:00 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Emilio Quissua	72.3%	-310 Bovada	F
Jorick Montagnac	27.7%	265 Betonline.ag	A

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 11:00 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Brian Manning	44.9%	125 Betonline.ag	A
Daniel Schwindt	55.1%	-130 Bovada	C

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 11:00 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Harun Kurt	57.2%	-135 Betonline.ag	B
Nathan Haywood	42.8%	130 Bovada	C

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 11:00 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Arijan Topallaj	64.6%	-210 Betonline.ag	F
Marco Elpidio	35.4%	180 Betonline.ag	B

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 11:00 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Dastan Amangeldy	72.5%	-285 Betonline.ag	C
Wanderley Junior	27.5%	250 Bovada	C

NBA - Jan 31, 2026 11:10 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Charlotte Hornets	38.9%	150 Fanduel	C
San Antonio Spurs	61.1%	-170 Betonline.ag	C

NHL - Jan 31, 2026 11:30 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Los Angeles Kings	50.3%	-109 BetRivers	C
Philadelphia Flyers	49.7%	-104 Lowvig	C

EPL - Jan 31, 2026 11:30 AM

	Probability	Best Line
Chelsea	61.4%	-170 Ceasers	C
West Ham United	17.6%	480 BetRivers	A
Draw	21.1%	375 BetMGM	A-

NHL - Jan 31, 2026 12:00 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Colorado Avalanche	57.5%	-145 BetUS	C
Detroit Red Wings	42.5%	130 Ceasers	C

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 12:00 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Mochamed Machaev	70.6%	-300 Bovada	F
Niko Samsonidse	29.4%	220 Bovada	C

EPL - Jan 31, 2026 2:00 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Liverpool	54.7%	-130 Fanatics	C
Newcastle United	21.9%	350 Fanduel	B
Draw	23.5%	314 BetUS	C

NHL - Jan 31, 2026 2:30 PM

	Probability	Best Line
New York Rangers	36.4%	170 BetRivers	C
Pittsburgh Penguins	63.6%	-190 Fanatics	C

NHL - Jan 31, 2026 3:00 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Florida Panthers	58.3%	-150 BetMGM	C
Winnipeg Jets	41.7%	135 Bovada	C

NHL - Jan 31, 2026 3:00 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Calgary Flames	50.1%	-107 Lowvig	C
San Jose Sharks	49.9%	-107 Lowvig	C

NHL - Jan 31, 2026 4:00 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Carolina Hurricanes	59.3%	-145 Bovada	A-
Washington Capitals	40.7%	148 Ceasers	A

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 4:10 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Lawrence Lui	29.6%	240 Betonline.ag	A-
Sulangrangbo	70.4%	-255 Fanduel	C

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 5:10 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Dom Mar Fan	56.5%	-135 DraftKings	C
Sang Uk Kim	43.5%	125 Ceasers	C

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 5:15 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Keiichiro Nakamura	44.9%	115 Bovada	C
Sebastian Szalay	55.1%	-130 Betonline.ag	C

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 5:45 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Kaan Ofli	33.8%	200 Ceasers	A
Yi Zha	66.2%	-210 BetMGM	C

NHL - Jan 31, 2026 6:00 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Columbus Blue Jackets	48.0%	101 Betonline.ag	C
St Louis Blues	52.0%	-115 Bovada	C

NHL - Jan 31, 2026 6:00 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Nashville Predators	46.1%	110 DraftKings	C
New York Islanders	53.9%	-123 BetUS	C

NHL - Jan 31, 2026 6:00 PM

	Probability	Best Line
New Jersey Devils	42.0%	132 Betonline.ag	C
Ottawa Senators	58.0%	-140 Bovada	B

NHL - Jan 31, 2026 6:00 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Toronto Maple Leafs	57.2%	-145 Fanatics	C
Vancouver Canucks	42.8%	130 DraftKings	C

NHL - Jan 31, 2026 6:00 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Buffalo Sabres	54.5%	-125 BetUS	C
Montréal Canadiens	45.5%	114 DraftKings	C

NBA - Jan 31, 2026 6:10 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Atlanta Hawks	52.3%	-116 Lowvig	C
Indiana Pacers	47.7%	106 Fanduel	C

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 6:15 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Jonathan Micallef	54.3%	-125 DraftKings	C
Oban Elliott	45.7%	116 Fanduel	C

NBA - Jan 31, 2026 6:40 PM

	Probability	Best Line
New Orleans Pelicans	22.3%	355 Bovada	A
Philadelphia 76ers	77.7%	-400 MyBookie	F

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 6:45 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Jacob Malkoun	56.7%	-139 BetRivers	C
Torrez Finney	43.3%	130 DraftKings	B

NBA - Jan 31, 2026 7:10 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Memphis Grizzlies	28.8%	255 Bovada	A
Minnesota Timberwolves	71.2%	-270 Fanduel	C

NBA - Jan 31, 2026 7:10 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Chicago Bulls	34.9%	185 BetMGM	B
Miami Heat	65.1%	-195 BetRivers	C

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 7:15 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Cam Rowston	75.4%	-350 Fanduel	F
Cody Brundage	24.6%	300 BetMGM	B

NBA - Jan 31, 2026 7:40 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Dallas Mavericks	19.8%	400 BetRivers	B
Houston Rockets	80.2%	-480 Ceasers	F

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 7:45 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Billy Elekana	69.4%	-250 BetRivers	F
Junior Tafa	30.6%	230 Betonline.ag	A

NHL - Jan 31, 2026 8:00 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Dallas Stars	49.3%	-103 Bovada	C
Utah Mammoth	50.7%	-110 Fanatics	C

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 8:15 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Jamie Mullarkey	12.9%	660 Fanduel	B
Quillan Salkilld	87.1%	-910 BetRivers	F

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 8:45 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Tai Tuivasa	26.7%	275 BetMGM	A-
Tallison Teixeira	73.3%	-305 Betonline.ag	C

NHL - Jan 31, 2026 9:00 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Seattle Kraken	35.1%	179 Lowvig	C
Vegas Golden Knights	64.9%	-205 DraftKings	F

NHL - Jan 31, 2026 9:00 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Edmonton Oilers	55.1%	-128 MyBookie	C
Minnesota Wild	44.9%	117 Lowvig	C

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 9:15 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Mauricio Ruffy	52.5%	-115 Ceasers	C
Rafael Fiziev	47.5%	108 Fanduel	C

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 9:45 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Benoit Saint-Denis	74.7%	-320 Fanduel	C
Daniel Hooker	25.3%	295 Betonline.ag	B

MMA - Jan 31, 2026 10:15 PM

	Probability	Best Line
Alex Volkanovski	57.1%	-142 Bovada	C
Diego Lopes	42.9%	130 Betonline.ag	C