Matt's Bets aggregates sportsbook betting lines to calculate up-to-date probabilities of the outcome of sporting events and track those probabilities over time. These probabilities, derived from the "wisdom of the crowd," likely provide a more accurate estimate than a single model or the lines from an individual sportsbook.

These probabilities are used to identify and grade the quality of sportsbook betting lines. An "A" grade means that, given the probability for that outcome, the betting line may theoretically be a "good" bet that is profitable in the long run.

Click on an event to learn more.

Big Probability Changes:

NFL - Dec 7, 2025 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Atlanta Falcons25.5%280
DraftKings		C
Seattle Seahawks74.5%-340
Fanduel		F
NFL - Dec 7, 2025 3:25 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Arizona Cardinals22.2%350
DraftKings		B
Los Angeles Rams77.8%-410
BetUS		F
NFL - Dec 7, 2025 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Indianapolis Colts53.9%-125
DraftKings		C
Jacksonville Jaguars46.1%110
BetUS		C
NFL - Dec 7, 2025 3:05 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Denver Broncos77.0%-370
Fanduel		C
Las Vegas Raiders23.0%330
BetRivers		B
NCAAF - Dec 5, 2025 7:01 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Boise State Broncos64.8%-195
Bovada		C
UNLV Rebels35.2%180
Fanduel		C
NFL - Dec 7, 2025 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Cleveland Browns65.2%-200
Bovada		C
Tennessee Titans34.8%184
Fanduel		B
NFL - Dec 7, 2025 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Minnesota Vikings53.2%-116
Fanduel		C
Washington Commanders46.8%110
DraftKings		C
NFL - Dec 7, 2025 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Buffalo Bills70.1%-265
Ceasers		F
Cincinnati Bengals29.9%225
BetUS		C
NFL - Dec 7, 2025 3:25 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chicago Bears27.3%270
DraftKings		A
Green Bay Packers72.7%-300
BetMGM		F
NFL - Dec 7, 2025 7:20 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Houston Texans37.8%160
Bovada		C
Kansas City Chiefs62.2%-180
DraftKings		F

Upcoming Events Today:

NHL - Dec 4, 2025 8:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Calgary Flames47.7%106
Betonline.ag		C
Minnesota Wild52.3%-115
Fanduel		C
NHL - Dec 4, 2025 8:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Edmonton Oilers64.5%-195
BetUS		C
Seattle Kraken35.5%175
BetRivers		C
NHL - Dec 4, 2025 9:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chicago Blackhawks35.1%180
DraftKings		C
Los Angeles Kings64.9%-200
Bovada		C
MMA - Dec 5, 2025 9:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Islam Youssef44.2%120
Bovada		C
Nawras Abzakh55.8%-135
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Dec 5, 2025 9:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Abbas Khan41.1%135
Bovada		C
Ahmed El Sisy58.9%-155
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Dec 5, 2025 9:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Mohammad Fahmi36.0%180
Betonline.ag		A
Salah Eddine Hamli64.0%-188
Fanduel		C
MMA - Dec 5, 2025 9:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Islam Reda51.2%-110
Bovada		C
Yanis Ghemmouri48.8%102
Fanduel		C
MMA - Dec 5, 2025 9:55 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Mahmoud Atef9.8%1000
Betonline.ag		A
Malik Basahel90.2%-1350
Fanduel		F
MMA - Dec 5, 2025 10:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Badreddine Diani14.7%650
Betonline.ag		A+
Mohammad Alaqraa85.3%-700
Bovada		F
MMA - Dec 5, 2025 5:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Lorenz Larkin78.6%-450
Betonline.ag		F
Vanilto Antunes21.4%350
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Dec 5, 2025 5:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Robelis Despaigne88.7%-1200
Betonline.ag		F
Sam Alvey11.3%750
Betonline.ag		B
NCAAF - Dec 5, 2025 6:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Jacksonville State Gamecocks45.0%115
Betonline.ag		C
Kennesaw State Owls55.0%-130
Bovada		C
NCAAF - Dec 5, 2025 6:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
James Madison Dukes92.6%-2200
Fanatics		F
Troy Trojans7.4%1400
Fanduel		A
NHL - Dec 5, 2025 6:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
New Jersey Devils46.2%112
Fanduel		C
Vegas Golden Knights53.8%-125
BetRivers		C
NHL - Dec 5, 2025 6:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Buffalo Sabres44.9%117
Bovada		C
Winnipeg Jets55.1%-129
Betonline.ag		C