Matt's Bets aggregates sportsbook betting lines to calculate up-to-date probabilities of the outcome of sporting events and track those probabilities over time. These probabilities, derived from the "wisdom of the crowd," likely provide a more accurate estimate than a single model or the lines from an individual sportsbook.

These probabilities are used to identify and grade the quality of sportsbook betting lines. An "A" grade means that, given the probability for that outcome, the betting line may theoretically be a "good" bet that is profitable in the long run.

Click on an event to learn more.

Big Probability Changes:

MMA - Apr 13, 2025 3:45 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Michael Chandler41.7%138
Betonline.ag		B
Paddy Pimblett58.3%-148
DraftKings		C
NBA - Apr 9, 2025 12:10 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Los Angeles Lakers14.9%625
BetMGM		A+
Oklahoma City Thunder85.1%-675
DraftKings		F
MMA - Apr 13, 2025 3:15 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Bryce Mitchell30.0%225
DraftKings		C
Jean Silva70.0%-251
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Apr 12, 2025 10:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Dan Ige40.1%145
Betonline.ag		C
Sean Woodson59.9%-160
Fanduel		C
NBA - Apr 8, 2025 11:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Boston Celtics50.9%-110
Fanatics		C
New York Knicks49.1%102
BetRivers		B
NBA - Apr 9, 2025 2:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Golden State Warriors73.4%-300
Fanduel		C
Phoenix Suns26.6%272
BetUS		B
MMA - Apr 12, 2025 10:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chase Hooper84.9%-700
BetMGM		F
Jim Miller15.1%575
Betonline.ag		A
NBA - Apr 9, 2025 12:10 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Milwaukee Bucks37.7%170
Betonline.ag		A
Minnesota Timberwolves62.3%-175
BetRivers		C
MLS - Apr 13, 2025 6:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Portland Timbers29.5%227
Lowvig		C
Sporting Kansas City44.7%114
Lowvig		F
Draw25.8%280
Bovada		B
EPL - Apr 12, 2025 2:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brighton and Hove Albion73.7%-335
Bovada		F
Leicester City9.7%1000
Lowvig		A
Draw16.6%490
Lowvig		B

Upcoming Events Today:

MLB - Apr 8, 2025 5:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Detroit Tigers60.5%-163
Betonline.ag		C
New York Yankees39.5%150
BetRivers		B
MLB - Apr 8, 2025 8:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chicago White Sox35.7%175
Betonline.ag		C
Cleveland Guardians64.3%-192
MyBookie		C
MLB - Apr 8, 2025 8:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Miami Marlins29.1%235
Fanduel		C
New York Mets70.9%-270
BetUS		F
MLB - Apr 8, 2025 10:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Pittsburgh Pirates55.2%-124
Fanduel		B
St. Louis Cardinals44.8%121
BetUS		B
MLB - Apr 8, 2025 10:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Boston Red Sox63.1%-180
DraftKings		C
Toronto Blue Jays36.9%171
Betonline.ag		A-
MLB - Apr 8, 2025 10:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Los Angeles Dodgers62.5%-174
Fanduel		C
Washington Nationals37.5%165
Lowvig		B
NHL - Apr 8, 2025 11:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Buffalo Sabres37.7%161
Lowvig		C
Carolina Hurricanes62.3%-180
Fanatics		F
NHL - Apr 8, 2025 11:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chicago Blackhawks35.0%182
Lowvig		B
Pittsburgh Penguins65.0%-205
BetRivers		F
NHL - Apr 8, 2025 11:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Boston Bruins30.5%223
Lowvig		B
New Jersey Devils69.5%-250
BetRivers		C
NHL - Apr 8, 2025 11:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Columbus Blue Jackets45.2%116
Betonline.ag		C
Ottawa Senators54.8%-125
Bovada		C
NHL - Apr 8, 2025 11:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Florida Panthers46.6%116
Lowvig		A
Toronto Maple Leafs53.4%-120
Fanatics		C
NHL - Apr 8, 2025 11:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Detroit Red Wings45.7%116
Lowvig		C
Montréal Canadiens54.3%-126
Fanduel		C
MLB - Apr 8, 2025 11:05 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Los Angeles Angels39.5%149
Betonline.ag		C
Tampa Bay Rays60.5%-164
Fanduel		C
NBA - Apr 8, 2025 11:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chicago Bulls17.6%500
BetMGM		A+
Cleveland Cavaliers82.4%-550
Lowvig		F
NBA - Apr 8, 2025 11:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Indiana Pacers92.0%-2000
Fanatics		F
Washington Wizards8.0%1250
BetMGM		A
MLB - Apr 8, 2025 11:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Miami Marlins28.7%240
Betonline.ag		C
New York Mets71.3%-270
Betonline.ag		C
NBA - Apr 8, 2025 11:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Charlotte Hornets13.1%660
Fanduel		B
Memphis Grizzlies86.9%-900
Fanatics		F
NBA - Apr 8, 2025 11:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Atlanta Hawks38.2%160
Betonline.ag		B
Orlando Magic61.8%-176
Fanduel		C
MLB - Apr 8, 2025 11:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Atlanta Braves51.5%-111
BetUS		C
Philadelphia Phillies48.5%103
Lowvig		C
NBA - Apr 8, 2025 11:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Boston Celtics50.9%-110
Fanatics		C
New York Knicks49.1%102
BetRivers		B
MLB - Apr 8, 2025 11:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chicago Cubs59.0%-144
Fanduel		B
Texas Rangers41.0%142
Lowvig		B
MLB - Apr 8, 2025 11:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Kansas City Royals54.2%-122
Lowvig		C
Minnesota Twins45.8%115
Bovada		C
NBA - Apr 8, 2025 11:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brooklyn Nets54.3%-130
DraftKings		F
New Orleans Pelicans45.7%116
Fanduel		C
NHL - Apr 9, 2025 12:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Nashville Predators47.1%107
Lowvig		C
New York Islanders52.9%-120
Lowvig		C
NHL - Apr 9, 2025 12:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Dallas Stars66.2%-215
Fanduel		F
Vancouver Canucks33.8%196
Lowvig		A-
NBA - Apr 9, 2025 12:10 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Los Angeles Lakers14.9%625
BetMGM		A+
Oklahoma City Thunder85.1%-675
DraftKings		F
NBA - Apr 9, 2025 12:10 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Milwaukee Bucks37.7%170
Betonline.ag		A
Minnesota Timberwolves62.3%-175
BetRivers		C
MLB - Apr 9, 2025 12:40 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Colorado Rockies40.6%143
Lowvig		C
Milwaukee Brewers59.4%-158
Fanduel		C
NHL - Apr 9, 2025 1:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Seattle Kraken32.2%216
Betonline.ag		A
Utah Hockey Club67.8%-220
BetRivers		C
NHL - Apr 9, 2025 1:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Colorado Avalanche55.3%-126
Fanduel		B
Vegas Golden Knights44.7%120
Lowvig		C
MLB - Apr 9, 2025 1:40 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Arizona Diamondbacks52.4%-112
BetRivers		B
Baltimore Orioles47.6%108
Bovada		C
MLB - Apr 9, 2025 1:40 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Houston Astros51.2%-110
Lowvig		C
Seattle Mariners48.8%100
Lowvig		C
MLB - Apr 9, 2025 1:45 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Cincinnati Reds45.9%118
Betonline.ag		A-
San Francisco Giants54.1%-120
BetRivers		B
NBA - Apr 9, 2025 2:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Golden State Warriors73.4%-300
Fanduel		C
Phoenix Suns26.6%272
BetUS		B
MLB - Apr 9, 2025 2:05 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Oakland Athletics42.8%131
Lowvig		C
San Diego Padres57.2%-144
Fanduel		C
NBA - Apr 9, 2025 2:40 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Los Angeles Clippers85.2%-750
Fanduel		F
San Antonio Spurs14.8%575
Betonline.ag		A-