Matt's Bets aggregates sportsbook betting lines to calculate up-to-date probabilities of the outcome of sporting events and track those probabilities over time. These probabilities, derived from the "wisdom of the crowd," likely provide a more accurate estimate than a single model or the lines from an individual sportsbook.

These probabilities are used to identify and grade the quality of sportsbook betting lines. An "A" grade means that, given the probability for that outcome, the betting line may theoretically be a "good" bet that is profitable in the long run.

Click on an event to learn more.

Big Probability Changes:

MMA - Mar 21, 2026 5:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Luke Riley63.7%-180
Betonline.ag		C
Michael Aswell36.3%172
Fanduel		C
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 4:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Michael Page62.5%-177
Bovada		C
Sam Patterson37.5%163
BetRivers		B
MLS - Mar 21, 2026 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Columbus Crew SC36.9%163
BetRivers		C
Toronto FC36.2%165
Bovada		C
Draw26.9%260
Fanduel		C
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 3:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Danny Silva32.5%210
Betonline.ag		A-
Kurtis Campbell67.5%-230
Fanduel		F
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 2:20 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Losene Keita67.4%-230
Betonline.ag		F
Nathaniel Wood32.6%200
DraftKings		C
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 12:35 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ravena Oliveira20.7%380
Ceasers		B
Shanelle Dyer79.3%-450
Fanduel		F
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 4:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Austen Lane17.6%500
Ceasers		A+
Iwo Baraniewski82.4%-590
Fanduel		F
NCAAB - Mar 21, 2026 7:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Nebraska Cornhuskers46.7%106
Fanduel		C
Vanderbilt Commodores53.3%-125
DraftKings		F
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 2:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brando Pericic69.0%-250
DraftKings		F
Louie Sutherland31.0%215
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 1:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady49.1%102
Betonline.ag		B
Shem Rock50.9%-104
BetRivers		B

Upcoming Events Today:

MMA - Mar 20, 2026 4:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Adam Borics24.0%310
BetMGM		B
AJ McKee76.0%-360
Fanduel		F
MMA - Mar 20, 2026 4:55 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Italo Gomes27.2%255
Betonline.ag		C
Manuel Del Valle72.8%-305
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Mar 20, 2026 5:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Costello Van Steenis48.0%104
Fanduel		C
Fabian Edwards52.0%-115
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Mar 20, 2026 5:20 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Daniel Konrad40.4%140
Betonline.ag		C
Jordan Vucenic59.6%-160
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Mar 20, 2026 5:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ollie Sarwa40.4%140
Betonline.ag		C
Weslley Maia59.6%-160
Betonline.ag		C
NCAAB - Mar 20, 2026 5:50 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Clemson Tigers46.9%106
Fanduel		C
Iowa Hawkeyes53.1%-122
DraftKings		C
NHL - Mar 20, 2026 6:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
New Jersey Devils45.5%117
Bovada		C
Washington Capitals54.5%-126
Betonline.ag		C
NCAAB - Mar 20, 2026 6:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Northern Iowa Panthers17.9%450
Fanduel		B
St. John's Red Storm82.1%-575
Fanatics		F
NHL - Mar 20, 2026 6:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Carolina Hurricanes66.0%-209
Betonline.ag		C
Toronto Maple Leafs34.0%190
BetRivers		B
NCAAB - Mar 20, 2026 6:25 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
UCF Knights33.4%200
Bovada		A-
UCLA Bruins66.6%-220
BetRivers		F
NCAAB - Mar 20, 2026 6:35 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Purdue Boilermakers95.5%-6500
Bovada		F
Queens University Royals4.5%3000
Fanduel		A+
NBA - Mar 20, 2026 6:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brooklyn Nets8.9%1050
Ceasers		A-
New York Knicks91.1%-1667
BetRivers		F
NBA - Mar 20, 2026 6:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Detroit Pistons65.8%-205
Fanduel		C
Golden State Warriors34.2%195
BetMGM		A
NBA - Mar 20, 2026 7:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Minnesota Timberwolves55.5%-133
Lowvig		C
Portland Trail Blazers44.5%120
Fanduel		C
NBA - Mar 20, 2026 7:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Atlanta Hawks40.9%138
Fanduel		C
Houston Rockets59.1%-155
Lowvig		C
NBA - Mar 20, 2026 7:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Boston Celtics88.1%-1077
Lowvig		F
Memphis Grizzlies11.9%810
Fanduel		A+
NHL - Mar 20, 2026 7:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chicago Blackhawks27.8%260
BetRivers		A-
Colorado Avalanche72.2%-290
Bovada		F
NHL - Mar 20, 2026 8:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Calgary Flames49.9%-104
BetRivers		C
Florida Panthers50.1%-107
Lowvig		C
NBA - Mar 20, 2026 8:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Denver Nuggets70.3%-270
Fanduel		F
Toronto Raptors29.7%229
Lowvig		C
NCAAB - Mar 20, 2026 8:25 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Florida Gators97.7%-25000
Bovada		C
Prairie View Panthers2.3%8000
Fanduel		A+
NCAAB - Mar 20, 2026 8:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Cal Baptist Lancers11.5%810
Fanduel		A
Kansas Jayhawks88.5%-1100
Ceasers		F
NCAAB - Mar 20, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Furman Paladins5.9%2200
Fanduel		A+
UConn Huskies94.1%-2800
Bovada		F
NCAAB - Mar 20, 2026 9:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Miami Hurricanes52.0%-116
MyBookie		C
Missouri Tigers48.0%102
DraftKings		C
NHL - Mar 20, 2026 9:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Anaheim Ducks45.4%117
Bovada		C
Utah Mammoth54.6%-130
DraftKings		C
EPL - Mar 21, 2026 7:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brighton and Hove Albion31.4%215
Bovada		B
Liverpool42.2%132
Lowvig		C
Draw26.4%270
Fanduel		C
EPL - Mar 21, 2026 10:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Burnley15.9%525
BetRivers		B
Fulham60.9%-170
DraftKings		F
Draw23.2%320
BetMGM		C
NCAAB - Mar 21, 2026 11:10 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Michigan Wolverines86.0%-835
BetRivers		F
Saint Louis Billikens14.0%640
Fanduel		A
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Luana Carolina54.1%-132
BetRivers		F
Melissa Mullins45.9%107
BetRivers		F
NHL - Mar 21, 2026 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Pittsburgh Penguins58.3%-148
DraftKings		C
Winnipeg Jets41.7%135
BetRivers		C
MLS - Mar 21, 2026 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Columbus Crew SC36.9%163
BetRivers		C
Toronto FC36.2%165
Bovada		C
Draw26.9%260
Fanduel		C
EPL - Mar 21, 2026 12:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chelsea45.1%115
Fanduel		C
Everton27.6%256
Betonline.ag		B
Draw27.3%260
Bovada		B
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 12:35 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ravena Oliveira20.7%380
Ceasers		B
Shanelle Dyer79.3%-450
Fanduel		F
NHL - Mar 21, 2026 1:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Nashville Predators45.4%115
Fanatics		C
Vegas Golden Knights54.6%-120
BetRivers		A-
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 1:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady49.1%102
Betonline.ag		B
Shem Rock50.9%-104
BetRivers		B
NCAAB - Mar 21, 2026 1:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Louisville Cardinals36.6%168
Fanduel		C
Michigan St Spartans63.4%-190
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 1:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Felipe Franco13.7%650
BetRivers		A
Mario Pinto86.3%-900
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 2:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Antonio Trocoli15.1%550
Betonline.ag		B
Mantas Kondratavicius84.9%-750
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 2:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brando Pericic69.0%-250
DraftKings		F
Louie Sutherland31.0%215
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 2:20 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Losene Keita67.4%-230
Betonline.ag		F
Nathaniel Wood32.6%200
DraftKings		C
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 2:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Axel Sola43.3%130
Ceasers		B
Mason Jones56.7%-130
BetRivers		A-
EPL - Mar 21, 2026 3:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brentford33.9%187
Betonline.ag		C
Leeds United38.5%151
Betonline.ag		C
Draw27.6%250
Bovada		C
NHL - Mar 21, 2026 3:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Buffalo Sabres51.3%-110
DraftKings		C
Los Angeles Kings48.7%104
BetRivers		B
NHL - Mar 21, 2026 3:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Dallas Stars49.7%-102
DraftKings		C
Minnesota Wild50.3%-107
BetRivers		C
NHL - Mar 21, 2026 3:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Philadelphia Flyers47.9%104
BetRivers		C
San Jose Sharks52.1%-115
DraftKings		C
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 3:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Danny Silva32.5%210
Betonline.ag		A-
Kurtis Campbell67.5%-230
Fanduel		F
MLS - Mar 21, 2026 3:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chicago Fire28.4%245
Bovada		C
Philadelphia Union42.1%130
Betonline.ag		C
Draw29.5%240
Fanduel		A-