Matt's Bets aggregates sportsbook betting lines to calculate up-to-date probabilities of the outcome of sporting events and track those probabilities over time. These probabilities, derived from the "wisdom of the crowd," likely provide a more accurate estimate than a single model or the lines from an individual sportsbook.

These probabilities are used to identify and grade the quality of sportsbook betting lines. An "A" grade means that, given the probability for that outcome, the betting line may theoretically be a "good" bet that is profitable in the long run.

Click on an event to learn more.

Big Probability Changes:

NFL - Dec 14, 2025 7:20 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Dallas Cowboys70.4%-258
MyBookie		C
Minnesota Vikings29.6%235
Fanduel		B
NFL - Dec 14, 2025 3:25 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Indianapolis Colts12.4%750
DraftKings		A
Seattle Seahawks87.6%-900
BetMGM		F
NFL - Dec 14, 2025 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Arizona Cardinals19.6%440
DraftKings		A+
Houston Texans80.4%-470
BetUS		F
NFL - Dec 14, 2025 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Jacksonville Jaguars86.9%-900
DraftKings		F
New York Jets13.1%661
Betonline.ag		B
NFL - Dec 14, 2025 3:25 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Detroit Lions30.8%218
BetUS		C
Los Angeles Rams69.2%-245
Bovada		C
NFL - Dec 14, 2025 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
New York Giants56.5%-135
BetMGM		C
Washington Commanders43.5%130
Bovada		B
NFL - Dec 14, 2025 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Buffalo Bills51.7%-112
MyBookie		C
New England Patriots48.3%100
DraftKings		C
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 9:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Kennedy Nzechukwu53.6%-125
Betonline.ag		C
Marcus Buchecha46.4%110
BetMGM		C
NFL - Dec 14, 2025 3:25 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
San Francisco 49ers86.1%-800
Betonline.ag		F
Tennessee Titans13.9%650
BetMGM		A
NCAAF - Dec 13, 2025 2:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Army Black Knights30.1%230
Lowvig		B
Navy Midshipmen69.9%-255
Fanduel		C

Upcoming Events Today:

MMA - Dec 13, 2025 12:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Liam Gittins21.7%375
Bovada		A
Taylor Lapilus78.3%-400
Betonline.ag		C
NHL - Dec 13, 2025 1:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Minnesota Wild51.9%-114
Fanduel		C
Ottawa Senators48.1%105
Ceasers		C
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 1:05 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Kevin Jousset33.2%190
Betonline.ag		C
Patrick Habirora66.8%-225
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 1:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Cris Cyborg88.1%-950
Fanduel		F
Sara Collins11.9%750
Betonline.ag		A-
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 1:55 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Renan Ferreira16.8%500
BetMGM		A-
Vadim Nemkov83.2%-590
Fanduel		F
NHL - Dec 13, 2025 2:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Pittsburgh Penguins60.1%-162
DraftKings		C
San Jose Sharks39.9%147
Bovada		C
NCAAF - Dec 13, 2025 2:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Army Black Knights30.1%230
Lowvig		B
Navy Midshipmen69.9%-255
Fanduel		C
EPL - Dec 13, 2025 2:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Arsenal84.4%-740
Lowvig		F
Wolverhampton Wanderers4.5%2200
Fanduel		A-
Draw11.1%825
BetMGM		A-
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 2:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Dennis Wosik15.6%500
Bovada		C
Petchpanomrung Kiatmoo984.4%-900
Bovada		F
NHL - Dec 13, 2025 2:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
New York Islanders45.7%113
Lowvig		C
Tampa Bay Lightning54.3%-128
Lowvig		C
NBA - Dec 13, 2025 4:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
New York Knicks64.1%-195
Lowvig		F
Orlando Magic35.9%180
Fanduel		A-
NHL - Dec 13, 2025 6:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Columbus Blue Jackets43.1%129
Betonline.ag		C
Vegas Golden Knights56.9%-140
Fanduel		C
NHL - Dec 13, 2025 6:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Washington Capitals53.4%-124
BetRivers		C
Winnipeg Jets46.6%110
Lowvig		C
NHL - Dec 13, 2025 6:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Montréal Canadiens44.6%123
Lowvig		B
New York Rangers55.4%-133
Bovada		C
NHL - Dec 13, 2025 6:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Carolina Hurricanes60.3%-165
BetUS		C
Philadelphia Flyers39.7%147
Betonline.ag		C
NHL - Dec 13, 2025 6:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Edmonton Oilers55.4%-133
MyBookie		C
Toronto Maple Leafs44.6%122
Ceasers		B
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 6:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Jamey-Lyn Horth38.7%158
BetUS		B
Tereza Bleda61.3%-167
BetRivers		C
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 6:35 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Allen Frye Jr.38.8%153
Bovada		C
Guilherme Pat61.2%-172
Fanduel		C
NHL - Dec 13, 2025 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Dallas Stars56.9%-140
Fanduel		C
Florida Panthers43.1%127
Bovada		C
NHL - Dec 13, 2025 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chicago Blackhawks36.4%170
Bovada		C
Detroit Red Wings63.6%-190
Lowvig		C
NCAAF - Dec 13, 2025 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Boise State Broncos24.6%295
DraftKings		C
Washington Huskies75.4%-360
Ceasers		F
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 7:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Luana Santos55.2%-132
BetRivers		C
Melissa Croden44.8%118
Ceasers		C
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 7:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Sean Sharaf33.1%195
BetMGM		C
Steven Asplund66.9%-210
Betonline.ag		C
NHL - Dec 13, 2025 8:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Colorado Avalanche74.0%-325
Lowvig		F
Nashville Predators26.0%280
DraftKings		B
NBA - Dec 13, 2025 8:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Oklahoma City Thunder80.2%-460
Bovada		C
San Antonio Spurs19.8%430
Ceasers		A+
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 8:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Neil Magny22.1%350
Betonline.ag		B
Yaroslav Amosov77.9%-420
Fanduel		F
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 8:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Isaac Thomson32.6%200
Bovada		C
Joanderson Brito67.4%-225
Fanduel		C
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 8:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Amanda Lemos36.3%170
BetUS		C
Gillian Robertson63.7%-180
Betonline.ag		C
NHL - Dec 13, 2025 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Calgary Flames38.6%154
DraftKings		C
Los Angeles Kings61.4%-170
Lowvig		C
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 9:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
King Green63.2%-188
Fanduel		F
Lance Gibson Jr36.8%170
Ceasers		B
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 9:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Kennedy Nzechukwu53.6%-125
Betonline.ag		C
Marcus Buchecha46.4%110
BetMGM		C
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 10:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Melquizael Costa55.1%-130
BetRivers		C
Morgan Charriere44.9%118
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 10:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Cesar Almeida34.7%180
Betonline.ag		C
Cezary Oleksiejczuk65.3%-205
Ceasers		C
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 11:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Giga Chikadze26.1%280
BetRivers		B
Kevin Vallejos73.9%-300
Fanduel		C
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 11:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brandon Royval28.7%250
BetRivers		A-
Manel Kape71.3%-275
BetMGM		F
EPL - Dec 14, 2025 8:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Aston Villa47.1%105
DraftKings		C
West Ham United25.8%276
Lowvig		C
Draw27.0%256
Lowvig		C
EPL - Dec 14, 2025 8:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Crystal Palace24.1%310
BetRivers		B
Manchester City51.2%-115
Fanduel		F
Draw24.7%298
Lowvig		B
EPL - Dec 14, 2025 8:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Newcastle United42.3%130
DraftKings		C
Sunderland28.6%240
Fanduel		C
Draw29.1%230
Fanatics		C
EPL - Dec 14, 2025 8:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Nottingham Forest37.5%156
Lowvig		C
Tottenham Hotspur33.9%187
Lowvig		C
Draw28.6%238
Lowvig		C
EPL - Dec 14, 2025 10:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brentford47.9%100
DraftKings		F
Leeds United25.2%285
Lowvig		C
Draw26.8%266
Lowvig		C